Los Angeles Lakers vs Houston Rockets Prediction, 9/10/2020 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Los Angeles Lakers vs Houston Rockets

Date: Thursday, September 10, 2020

Location: AdventHealth Arena in Orlando, Florida

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: Los Angeles -5.5

Total/Over-Under: 220.5

Anthony Davis and the Los Angeles Lakers travel to AdventHealth Arena on Thursday where they'll take on the Houston Rockets in Game 4 of their series. The spread on this game has Los Angeles as 5.5-point favorites. The O/U opens at 220.5.

The Lakers took a 2-1 series lead on Tuesday with a 112-102 win. LeBron James led L.A. with 36 pts, 7 rebounds, and 5 assists while Davis finished with 26 points, 15 boards, and 6 dimes. James Harden (33 pts) and Russell Westbrook (30 points) both played well for the Rockets, but it wasn't enough to overcome 55% shooting for Los Angeles.

The Lakers cover the spread 52.6% of the time, having gone 41-37-1 ATS. Houston is covering 45.1% of the time, going 37-45-0 against the spread.

Key Los Angeles Lakers Injuries

9/8/2020 Dion Waiters SG Groin Game Time Decision

Key Houston Rockets Injuries

9/9/2020 Jr SF Personal Game Time Decision

Player Spotlight

Anthony Davis comes into this contest averaging 26.1 points per game while playing 34.4 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 9.3 rebounds per game and dishes out 3.2 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 50% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 85%. LeBron James averages 25.3 points per game in 34.6 minutes per contest this season. He averages 10.2 assists per contest and 7.8 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 49% for the year while his free throw percentage is 69%.

Player Spotlight

Robert Covington averages 12.4 points per game while playing 30.5 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 6.6 rebounds per game and has 1.3 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 42% and his free throw percentage is at 80%. James Harden averages 34.3 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 36.5 minutes per contest. He also averages 6.6 rebounds per contest and 7.5 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 44% and his free throw percentage is 87%.

Useful Team Statistics

Los Angeles averages 113.4 points per contest this season, which ranks them 11th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 5.8 and their shooting percentage is 48% as a team, which has them ranked 1st. Behind the arc they shoot 35% which is good for 22nd in the league. They average 45.7 rebounds per game and 25.4 assists per game, which ranks them 9th and 10th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 9th with 15.2 per game. The Lakers allow 107.6 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 4th in the league. They also allow a 45% shooting percentage and a 35% average from behind the arc, ranking them 8th and 8th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 42.3 rebounds a game which ranks 2nd and they give up 23.4 assists per contest, which puts them in 7th place in the league. They force 15.9 turnovers per game which ranks them 26th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

Houston is 2nd in the league with 117.8 points per game this year. They are 22nd in the league in shooting at 45%, while their average scoring margin is 3.0. They shoot 35% from 3-point range, which is good for 24th in the NBA. They are 18th in the league in rebounding with 44.3 boards per game, and 29th in assists per contest with 21.6. The Rockets are 16th in turnovers per game with 14.7. The Rockets surrender 114.8 points per contest, which ranks them 23rd in the NBA. Their defense allows a 46% shooting percentage and a 35% average from 3-point range, ranking them 14th and 7th in those defensive statistics. They rank 23rd with 25.3 assists allowed per contest and 30th with 47.9 rebounds surrendered per game. The Rockets are 28th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 16.2 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Lakers are 11th in the NBA in offensive rating with 112, and their defensive rating of 106.3 is ranked 3rd. In terms of pace they are 12th in the league with 100.9 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 54% is 5th. As a team they are 10th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 36% of their shots, ranking 23rd in the league. Los Angeles is 9th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.3 times per 100 possessions while forcing 14.1 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 52%, which is 24th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Houston is 20th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.6 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.7 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 53%, which is 17th in the NBA. The Rockets are 6th in the league in defensive rating with 110.1, and their offensive rating of 112.9 is ranked 14th. They are 2nd in the NBA in pace with 103.7 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 54% is 7th. As a unit they are 5th in the league in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 50% of their shot attempts, ranking 1st in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Lakers/Rockets NBA game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Los Angeles -5.5

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