Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, 9/22/2020 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets

Date: Tuesday, September 22, 2020

Location: AdventHealth Arena in Orlando, Florida

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: Los Angeles -6.5

Total/Over-Under: 210.5

Nikola Jokic and the Denver Nuggets play the Los Angeles Lakers at AdventHealth Arena on Tuesday. Los Angeles opens this matchup as 6.5-point favorites. The over/under opens at 210.5.

Anthony Davis hit a game-winning buzzer beating 3-pointer to win Game 2 for the Lakers 105-103. L.A. now leads the series 2-0. Davis finished the game with 31 points, 9 boards, and 2 assists. Nikola Jokic led Denver with 30 pts, 9 assists, and 6 rebounds in the loss.

The Lakers cover 53.7% of the time, having gone 44-38-1 ATS. Denver covers the spread 51.2% of the time, going 43-41-5 against the spread.

Key Los Angeles Lakers Injuries

9/21/2020 Dion Waiters SG Groin Game Time Decision

Key Denver Nuggets Injuries

9/21/2020 Vlatko Cancar SF Foot Expected to be out until at least Oct 1
8/28/2020 Will Barton SF Knee Expected to be out until at least Oct 1

Player Spotlight

Anthony Davis comes into this game averaging 26.1 points per contest while playing 34.4 minutes per night this year. He grabs 9.3 rebounds per contest and distributes 3.2 assists per game. His FG percentage is 50% while his free throw percentage is 85%. LeBron James averages 25.3 points per contest in 34.6 minutes per game. He averages 10.2 assists per game and 7.8 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 49% for the season while his free throw percentage is 69%.

Player Spotlight

Nikola Jokic scores 19.9 points per contest while playing 32.0 minutes per game. He hauls in 9.7 rebounds per contest and has 7.0 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 53% and his free throw percentage is at 82%. Jamal Murray averages 18.5 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 32.3 minutes per game. He also brings in 4.0 rebounds per game and has 4.8 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 46% and his free throw percentage is 88%.

Useful Team Statistics

Los Angeles averages 113.4 points per contest, which is 11th in the league. Their average scoring margin is 5.8 and their shooting percentage is 48% as a unit, which has them ranked 1st. From 3-point territory they shoot 35%, which is good for 22nd in the NBA. They average 45.7 boards per contest and 25.4 assists per game, which ranks them 9th and 10th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 9th with 15.2 per game. The Lakers allow 107.6 points per contest, which is 4th in the NBA. They also surrender a 45% shooting percentage and a 35% average from 3-point range, ranking them 8th and 8th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 42.3 rebounds a game which ranks 2nd, and they allow 23.4 assists per game which puts them in 7th place in the league. They force 15.9 turnovers per game which ranks them 26th in the NBA.

Useful Team Statistics

Denver is 19th in the NBA with 111.3 points per contest this season. They are 4th in the league in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin is 2.11. They shoot 36% from beyond the arc, which is good for 15th in the league. They are 20th in the NBA in rebounding with 44.1 boards per contest and 4th in assists per game with 26.7. The Nuggets are 24th in turnovers per contest with 13.8. The Nuggets give up 109.2 points per game, which ranks them 11th in the league. Their defense surrenders a 46% shooting percentage and a 36% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 17th and 17th in those defensive statistics. They rank 24th with 25.4 dimes allowed per game and 4th with 42.6 boards surrendered per contest. The Nuggets are 14th in the league in forcing turnovers with 14.3 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Lakers are 11th in the NBA in offensive rating with 112, and their defensive rating of 106.3 is ranked 3rd. In terms of pace they are 12th in the league with 100.9 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 54% is 5th. As a team they are 10th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 36% of their shots, ranking 23rd in the league. Los Angeles is 9th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.3 times per 100 possessions while forcing 14.1 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 52%, which is 24th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Denver is 23rd in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.3 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.9 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 53%, which is 14th in the league. The Nuggets are 5th in the NBA in offensive rating with 113.1, and their defensive rating of 111 is ranked 16th. In terms of pace they are 29th in the league with 97.1 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 54% is 9th. As a team they are 15th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 34% of their shots, ranking 27th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Lakers/Nuggets NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Denver +6.5

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