Los Angeles Clippers vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, 9/7/2020 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Los Angeles Clippers vs Denver Nuggets

Date: Monday, September 7, 2020

Location: AdventHealth Arena in Orlando, Florida

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: Los Angeles -7.5

Total/Over-Under: 221

AdventHealth Arena is the venue where Paul Millsap and the Denver Nuggets will play the Los Angeles Clippers on Monday. Denver opens this game as 7.5-point dogs. The over/under has been set at 221.

The Nuggets tied the series at 1-1 after winning Game 2 by a score of 110-101. Nikola Jokic paced Denver with 26 points, 18 rebounds, and 4 assists. Paul George finished with 22 pts, 8 boards, and 3 dimes in the losing cause for L.A.

The Clippers cover 57.5% of the time, having gone 46-34-0 ATS. Denver is covering the spread 49.4% of the time, going 38-39-5 against the spread.

Key Los Angeles Clippers Injuries

No key injuries to report

Key Denver Nuggets Injuries

9/2/2020 Vlatko Cancar SF Foot Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
8/28/2020 Will Barton SF Knee Expected to be out until at least Oct 1

Player Spotlight

Paul George comes into this game averaging 21.5 points per contest while playing 29.6 minutes per night this year. He grabs 5.7 rebounds per contest and distributes 3.9 assists per game. His FG percentage is 44% while his free throw percentage is 88%. Kawhi Leonard averages 27.1 points per contest in 32.4 minutes per game. He averages 4.9 assists per game and 7.1 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 47% for the season while his free throw percentage is 89%.

Player Spotlight

Paul Millsap scores 11.6 points per contest while playing 24.3 minutes per game. He hauls in 5.7 rebounds per contest and has 1.6 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 48% and his free throw percentage is at 82%. Jamal Murray averages 18.5 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 32.3 minutes per game. He also brings in 4.0 rebounds per game and has 4.8 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 46% and his free throw percentage is 88%.

Useful Team Statistics

Los Angeles averages 116.3 points per contest, which is 4th in the league. Their average scoring margin is 6.4 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a unit, which has them ranked 12th. From 3-point territory they shoot 37%, which is good for 6th in the NBA. They average 47.7 boards per contest and 23.7 assists per game, which ranks them 3rd and 22nd in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 18th with 14.6 per game. The Clippers allow 109.9 points per contest, which is 13th in the NBA. They also surrender a 44% shooting percentage and a 35% average from 3-point range, ranking them 3rd and 5th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 45.3 rebounds a game which ranks 18th, and they allow 23.7 assists per game which puts them in 9th place in the league. They force 14.1 turnovers per game which ranks them 11th in the NBA.

Useful Team Statistics

Denver is 19th in the NBA with 111.3 points per contest this season. They are 4th in the league in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin is 2.11. They shoot 36% from beyond the arc, which is good for 15th in the league. They are 20th in the NBA in rebounding with 44.1 boards per contest and 4th in assists per game with 26.7. The Nuggets are 24th in turnovers per contest with 13.8. The Nuggets give up 109.2 points per game, which ranks them 11th in the league. Their defense surrenders a 46% shooting percentage and a 36% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 17th and 17th in those defensive statistics. They rank 24th with 25.4 dimes allowed per game and 4th with 42.6 boards surrendered per contest. The Nuggets are 14th in the league in forcing turnovers with 14.3 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Clippers are 2nd in the league in defensive rating with 107.6, and their offensive rating of 113.9 is ranked 5th. They are 8th in the NBA in pace with 101.5 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 54% is 10th. As a unit they are 6th in the league in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 38% of their shot attempts, ranking 17th in the NBA. Los Angeles is 21st in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.6 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.2 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 51%, which is 28th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Denver is 23rd in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.3 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.9 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 53%, which is 14th in the league. The Nuggets are 5th in the NBA in offensive rating with 113.1, and their defensive rating of 111 is ranked 16th. In terms of pace they are 29th in the league with 97.1 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 54% is 9th. As a team they are 15th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 34% of their shots, ranking 27th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Clippers/Nuggets NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Denver +7.5

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