Los Angeles Clippers vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, 9/13/2020 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Los Angeles Clippers vs Denver Nuggets

Date: Sunday, September 13, 2020

Location: AdventHealth Arena in Orlando, Florida

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Los Angeles -7.5

Total/Over-Under: 214

Gary Harris and the Denver Nuggets host the Los Angeles Clippers at AdventHealth Arena on Sunday in Game 6 of their series. Denver opens this contest as 7.5-point dogs. The O/U is set at 214.

Denver won Game 5 by a score of 111-105 to cut the Clippers series lead to 3-2. Nikola Jokic led the Nuggets with 22 points, 14 boards, and 5 assists. Kawhi Leonard led L.A. in the loss with 36 pts, 9 rebounds, and 4 dimes. 

The Clippers are covering 56.6% of the time, having gone 47-36-0 ATS. Denver is covering 50.0% of the time, going 40-40-5 against the spread.

Key Los Angeles Clippers Injuries

No key injuries to report

Key Denver Nuggets Injuries

9/2/2020 Vlatko Cancar SF Foot Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
8/28/2020 Will Barton SF Knee Expected to be out until at least Oct 1

Player Spotlight

Paul George comes into this contest averaging 21.5 points per game while playing 29.6 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 5.7 rebounds per game and dishes out 3.9 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 44% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 88%. Lou Williams averages 18.2 points per game in 28.7 minutes per contest this season. He averages 5.6 assists per contest and 3.1 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 42% for the year while his free throw percentage is 86%.

Player Spotlight

Gary Harris averages 10.4 points per game while playing 31.8 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 2.9 rebounds per game and has 2.1 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 42% and his free throw percentage is at 82%. Nikola Jokic averages 19.9 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 32.0 minutes per contest. He also averages 9.7 rebounds per contest and 7.0 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 53% and his free throw percentage is 82%.

Useful Team Statistics

Los Angeles averages 116.3 points per contest this season, which ranks them 4th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 6.4 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a team, which has them ranked 12th. Behind the arc they shoot 37% which is good for 6th in the league. They average 47.7 rebounds per game and 23.7 assists per game, which ranks them 3rd and 22nd in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 18th with 14.6 per game. The Clippers allow 109.9 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 13th in the league. They also allow a 44% shooting percentage and a 35% average from behind the arc, ranking them 3rd and 5th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 45.3 rebounds a game which ranks 18th and they give up 23.7 assists per contest, which puts them in 9th place in the league. They force 14.1 turnovers per game which ranks them 11th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

Denver is 19th in the league with 111.3 points per game this year. They are 4th in the league in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin is 2.1. They shoot 36% from 3-point range, which is good for 15th in the NBA. They are 20th in the league in rebounding with 44.1 boards per game, and 4th in assists per contest with 26.7. The Nuggets are 24th in turnovers per game with 13.8. The Nuggets surrender 109.2 points per contest, which ranks them 11th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 46% shooting percentage and a 36% average from 3-point range, ranking them 17th and 17th in those defensive statistics. They rank 24th with 25.4 assists allowed per contest and 4th with 42.6 rebounds surrendered per game. The Nuggets are 14th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 14.3 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Clippers are 2nd in the league in defensive rating with 107.6, and their offensive rating of 113.9 is ranked 5th. They are 8th in the NBA in pace with 101.5 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 54% is 10th. As a unit they are 6th in the league in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 38% of their shot attempts, ranking 17th in the NBA. Los Angeles is 21st in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.6 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.2 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 51%, which is 28th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Denver is 23rd in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.3 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.9 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 53%, which is 14th in the league. The Nuggets are 5th in the NBA in offensive rating with 113.1, and their defensive rating of 111 is ranked 16th. In terms of pace they are 29th in the league with 97.1 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 54% is 9th. As a team they are 15th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 34% of their shots, ranking 27th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Clippers/Nuggets NBA game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Los Angeles -7.5

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