Los Angeles Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, 8/29/2020 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Los Angeles Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks

Date: Saturday, August 29, 2020

Location: AdventHealth Arena in Orlando, Florida

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Los Angeles -8

Total/Over-Under: 238

Paul George and the Los Angeles Clippers go to AdventHealth Arena on Saturday where they'll take on the Dallas Mavericks in Game 6 of their series. Dallas opens this matchup as 8-point dogs. The over/under has been set at 238.

The Clippers took a 3-2 series lead after dominating in Game 5 by a score of 154-111. George broke out of his funk in a big way, collecting 35 points on 12 of 18 from the field. He also hit 4 of 8 from downtown. Luka Doncic had an ok game for Dallas by his standards, tallying 22 pts, 8 rebounds, and 4 assists. The Mavs will need a much better performance from him if they hope to extend the series to 7 games.

The Clippers cover the spread 57.1% of the time, having gone 44-33-0 ATS. Dallas covers the spread 50.6% of the time, going 39-38-3 against the spread.

Key Los Angeles Clippers Injuries

08/25/20 PG Patrick Beverley Calf is questionable Thursday vs Dallas

Key Dallas Mavericks Injuries

08/26/20 PG Trey Burke Ankle is questionable Thursday vs LA Clippers
08/26/20 PG Luka Doncic Ankle is questionable Thursday vs LA Clippers
08/26/20 SF Dorian Finney-Smith Hip is questionable Thursday vs LA Clippers
08/25/20 PF Kristaps Porzingis Knee is questionable Thursday vs LA Clippers
06/29/20 C Willie Cauley-Stein COVID-19 is out for season
06/28/20 SG Courtney Lee Calf is out for season
02/24/20 PG Jalen Brunson Shoulder is out indefinitely
01/21/20 PF Dwight Powell Achilles is out for season

Player Spotlight

Kawhi Leonard averages 27.1 points per game in 32.4 minutes per contest. He averages 4.9 assists per contest and 7.1 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 47% for the year while his free throw percentage is 89%. Paul George comes into this contest averaging 21.5 points per game while playing 29.6 minutes per night. He pulls down 5.7 rebounds per game and dishes out 3.9 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 44% while his free throw percentage is at 88%.

Player Spotlight

Tim Hardaway Jr. averages 15.8 points per game and he sees the court an average of 29.5 minutes per contest. He also averages 3.3 rebounds per contest and 1.9 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 43% and his free throw percentage is 82%. Luka Doncic averages 28.8 points per game while playing 33.6 minutes per contest. He grabs 9.4 rebounds per game and has 8.8 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 46% and his free throw percentage is at 76%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Clippers allow 109.9 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 13th in the league. They also allow a 44% shooting percentage and a 35% average from behind the arc, ranking them 3rd and 5th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 45.3 rebounds a game which ranks 18th, and they give up 23.7 assists per contest which puts them in 9th place in the league. They force 14.1 turnovers per game which ranks them 11th in the league. Los Angeles averages 116.3 points per contest this season, which ranks them 4th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 6.4 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a team, which has them ranked 12th. Behind the arc they shoot 37% which is good for 6th in the league. They average 47.7 rebounds per game and 23.7 assists per contest, which ranks them 3rd and 22nd in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 18th with 14.6 per game.

Useful Team Statistics

The Mavericks surrender 112.1 points per contest, which ranks them 16th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 46% shooting percentage and a 35% average from 3-point range, ranking them 13th and 10th in those defensive statistics. They rank 10th with 23.9 assists allowed per contest, and 19th with 45.4 rebounds surrendered per game. The Mavericks are 1st in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 11.9 per game. Dallas is 3rd in the league with 117.0 points per game this year. They are 17th in the league in shooting at 46%, while their average scoring margin is 5.0. They shoot 37% from 3-point range, which is good for 11th in the NBA. They are 4th in the league in rebounding with 46.9 boards per game and 14th in assists per contest with 24.7. The Mavericks are 29th in turnovers per game with 12.7.

Advanced Statistics

The Clippers are 2nd in the league in defensive rating with 107.6, and their offensive rating of 113.9 is ranked 5th. They are 8th in the NBA in pace with 101.5 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 54% is 10th. As a unit they are 6th in the league in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 38% of their shot attempts, ranking 17th in the NBA. Los Angeles is 21st in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.6 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.2 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 51%, which is 28th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Dallas is 29th in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.2 times per 100 possessions while forcing 10.6 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 53%, which is 18th in the league. The Mavericks are 1st in the NBA in offensive rating with 116.7, and their defensive rating of 111.7 is ranked 18th. In terms of pace they are 18th in the league with 99.3 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 55% is 4th. As a team they are 4th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 46% of their shots, ranking 2nd in the league.

Who will win tonight's Clippers/Mavericks NBA game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Los Angeles -8

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