Los Angeles Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, 8/23/2020 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Los Angeles Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks

Date: Sunday, August 23, 2020

Location: AdventHealth Arena in Orlando, Florida

TV: ABC

Odds/Point Spread: Los Angeles -8

Total/Over-Under: 231.5

Luka Doncic and the Dallas Mavericks host the Los Angeles Clippers at AdventHealth Arena on Sunday in Game 4 of their series. Los Angeles opens this matchup as 8-point favorites. The total has been set at 231.5.

The Clippers lead the series 2-1 after a 130-122 win in Game 3. Kawhi Leonard led L.A. with 36 points, 9 boards, and 8 assists. Kristaps Porzingas had his best performance of the Playoffs in the losing effort for Dallas, tallying 34 pts and 13 rebounds.

The Clippers are covering the spread 57.3% of the time, having gone 43-32-0 ATS. Dallas is covering 50.7% of the time, going 38-37-3 against the spread.

Key Los Angeles Clippers Injuries

08/20/20 PG Patrick Beverley Calf is questionable Sunday vs Dallas

Key Dallas Mavericks Injuries

08/21/20 PG Luka Doncic Ankle is questionable Sunday vs LA Clippers
06/29/20 C Willie Cauley-Stein COVID-19 is out for season
06/28/20 SG Courtney Lee Calf is out for season
02/24/20 PG Jalen Brunson Shoulder is out indefinitely
01/21/20 PF Dwight Powell Achilles is out for season

Player Spotlight

Paul George comes into this game averaging 21.5 points per contest while playing 29.6 minutes per night this year. He grabs 5.7 rebounds per contest and distributes 3.9 assists per game. His FG percentage is 44% while his free throw percentage is 88%. Kawhi Leonard averages 27.1 points per contest in 32.4 minutes per game. He averages 4.9 assists per game and 7.1 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 47% for the season while his free throw percentage is 89%.

Player Spotlight

Luka Doncic scores 28.8 points per contest while playing 33.6 minutes per game. He hauls in 9.4 rebounds per contest and has 8.8 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 46% and his free throw percentage is at 76%. Tim Hardaway Jr. averages 15.8 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 29.5 minutes per game. He also brings in 3.3 rebounds per game and has 1.9 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 43% and his free throw percentage is 82%.

Useful Team Statistics

Los Angeles averages 116.3 points per contest, which is 4th in the league. Their average scoring margin is 6.4 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a unit, which has them ranked 12th. From 3-point territory they shoot 37%, which is good for 6th in the NBA. They average 47.7 boards per contest and 23.7 assists per game, which ranks them 3rd and 22nd in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 18th with 14.6 per game. The Clippers allow 109.9 points per contest, which is 13th in the NBA. They also surrender a 44% shooting percentage and a 35% average from 3-point range, ranking them 3rd and 5th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 45.3 rebounds a game which ranks 18th, and they allow 23.7 assists per game which puts them in 9th place in the league. They force 14.1 turnovers per game which ranks them 11th in the NBA.

Useful Team Statistics

Dallas is 3rd in the NBA with 117.0 points per contest this season. They are 17th in the league in shooting at 46%, while their average scoring margin is 4.95. They shoot 37% from beyond the arc, which is good for 11th in the league. They are 4th in the NBA in rebounding with 46.9 boards per contest and 14th in assists per game with 24.7. The Mavericks are 29th in turnovers per contest with 12.7. The Mavericks give up 112.1 points per game, which ranks them 16th in the league. Their defense surrenders a 46% shooting percentage and a 35% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 13th and 10th in those defensive statistics. They rank 10th with 23.9 dimes allowed per game and 19th with 45.4 boards surrendered per contest. The Mavericks are 1st in the league in forcing turnovers with 11.9 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Clippers are 2nd in the league in defensive rating with 107.6, and their offensive rating of 113.9 is ranked 5th. They are 8th in the NBA in pace with 101.5 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 54% is 10th. As a unit they are 6th in the league in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 38% of their shot attempts, ranking 17th in the NBA. Los Angeles is 21st in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.6 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.2 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 51%, which is 28th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Dallas is 29th in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.2 times per 100 possessions while forcing 10.6 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 53%, which is 18th in the league. The Mavericks are 1st in the NBA in offensive rating with 116.7, and their defensive rating of 111.7 is ranked 18th. In terms of pace they are 18th in the league with 99.3 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 55% is 4th. As a team they are 4th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 46% of their shots, ranking 2nd in the league.

Who will win tonight's Clippers/Mavericks NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Dallas +8

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