Kings vs Heat 1/20/2020 NBA Prediction, Pick, Tips

Game: Sacramento Kings vs Miami Heat

Date: Monday, January 20, 2020

Location: American Airlines Arena in Miami, FL

TV: Fox Sports Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Miami -5

Total/Over-Under: 222

Jimmy Butler and the Miami Heat (29-12, 1st in the Southeast Division) host the Sacramento Kings (15-27, 4th in the Pacific Division) at American Airlines Arena on Monday, January 20, 2020. Miami opens this contest as 5 point favorites. The O/U is set at 222.

The Kings cover the spread 48.8% of the time, having gone 20-21-1 ATS. Miami is covering 61.5% of the time, going 24-15-2 against the spread.

Key Sacramento Kings Injuries

01/18/20 SG Kent Bazemore Traded is OUT Monday vs Miami
01/12/20 PF Richaun Holmes Shoulder is out indefinitely

Key Miami Heat Injuries

01/17/20 SG Tyler Herro Knee is questionable Sunday vs San Antonio
01/13/20 SF Justise Winslow Back is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Buddy Hield comes into this game averaging 20.1 points per contest while playing 34.3 minutes per night this year. He grabs 5.0 rebounds per contest and distributes 3.1 assists per game. His FG percentage is 42% while his free throw percentage is 82%. De'Aaron Fox averages 19.3 points per contest in 31.1 minutes per game. He averages 7.3 assists per game and 4.4 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 49% for the season while his free throw percentage is 70%.

Player Spotlight

Jimmy Butler scores 20.3 points per contest while playing 35.1 minutes per game. He hauls in 7.0 rebounds per contest and has 6.4 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 44% and his free throw percentage is at 82%. Kendrick Nunn averages 16.0 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 30.2 minutes per game. He also brings in 2.7 rebounds per game and has 3.5 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 46% and his free throw percentage is 80%.

Useful Team Statistics

Sacramento averages 106.6 points per contest, which is 24th in the league. Their average scoring margin is -3.3 and their shooting percentage is 46% as a unit, which has them ranked 17th. From 3-point territory they shoot 36%, which is good for 14th in the NBA. They average 42.3 boards per contest and 22.7 assists per game, which ranks them 28th and 23rd in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 11th with 15.2 per game. The Kings allow 109.9 points per contest, which is 15th in the NBA. They also surrender a 47% shooting percentage and a 35% average from 3-point range, ranking them 21st and 11th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 43.5 rebounds a game which ranks 8th, and they allow 24.2 assists per game which puts them in 15th place in the league. They force 14.8 turnovers per game which ranks them 17th in the NBA.

Useful Team Statistics

Miami is 13th in the NBA with 111.6 points per contest this season. They are 4th in the league in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin is 3.85. They shoot 38% from beyond the arc, which is good for 2nd in the league. They are 16th in the NBA in rebounding with 45.5 boards per contest and 11th in assists per game with 25.2. The Heat are 4th in turnovers per contest with 15.7. The Heat give up 107.8 points per game, which ranks them 11th in the league. Their defense surrenders a 45% shooting percentage and a 33% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 7th and 1st in those defensive statistics. They rank 16th with 24.2 dimes allowed per game and 2nd with 41.6 boards surrendered per contest. The Heat are 7th in the league in forcing turnovers with 13.7 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Kings are 21st in the NBA in offensive rating with 108, and their defensive rating of 111.3 is ranked 19th. In terms of pace they are 28th in the league with 97.8 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 53% is 17th. As a team they are 19th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 39% of their shots, ranking 13th in the league. Sacramento is 5th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.7 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.4 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 54%, which is 10th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Miami is 3rd in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 14.2 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.3 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 52%, which is 19th in the league. The Heat are 7th in the NBA in offensive rating with 111.9, and their defensive rating of 108 is ranked 13th. In terms of pace they are 26th in the league with 98.3 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 55% is 3rd. As a team they are 2nd in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 59% and they shoot 3-pointers on 40% of their shots, ranking 9th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Kings/Heat NBA game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Miami -5

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