Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat Prediction, 8/24/2020 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat

Date: Monday, August 24, 2020

Location: The Field House in Orlando, Florida

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: Miami -8

Total/Over-Under: 216.5

Myles Turner and the Indiana Pacers go to The Field House on Monday where they'll meet the Miami Heat in Game 4 of their series. Indiana opens this contest as 8-point underdogs. The O/U opens at 216.5.

The Heat won Game 3 by a score of 124-115 to take a decisive 3-0 lead in the series. Bam Adebayo had a great game for Miami, collecting 22 pts, 11 boards, and 5 assists. Malcolm Brogdon had his best game of the series in the loss for Indiana, tallying 34 points, 7 rebounds, and 14 dimes.

The Pacers are covering the spread 54.8% of the time, having gone 40-33-3 ATS. Miami is covering 52.7% of the time, going 39-35-2 against the spread.

Key Indiana Pacers Injuries

07/24/20 PF Domantas Sabonis Foot is out indefinitely
02/24/20 SG Jeremy Lamb ACL is out for season

Key Miami Heat Injuries

08/22/20 SF KZ Okpala Personal is questionable Monday vs Indiana

Player Spotlight

T.J. McConnell averages 6.5 points per game in 18.7 minutes per contest. He averages 5.0 assists per contest and 2.7 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 52% for the year while his free throw percentage is 83%. Myles Turner comes into this contest averaging 12.1 points per game while playing 29.5 minutes per night. He pulls down 6.6 rebounds per game and dishes out 1.2 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 46% while his free throw percentage is at 75%.

Player Spotlight

Bam Adebayo averages 15.9 points per game and he sees the court an average of 33.6 minutes per contest. He also averages 10.2 rebounds per contest and 5.1 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 56% and his free throw percentage is 69%. Goran Dragic averages 16.2 points per game while playing 28.2 minutes per contest. He grabs 3.2 rebounds per game and has 5.1 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 44% and his free throw percentage is at 78%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Pacers allow 107.5 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 3rd in the league. They also allow a 45% shooting percentage and a 34% average from behind the arc, ranking them 6th and 4th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 45.2 rebounds a game which ranks 16th, and they give up 23.1 assists per contest which puts them in 6th place in the league. They force 14.7 turnovers per game which ranks them 18th in the league. Indiana averages 109.4 points per contest this season, which ranks them 23rd in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 2.0 and their shooting percentage is 48% as a team, which has them ranked 2nd. Behind the arc they shoot 36% which is good for 14th in the league. They average 42.8 rebounds per game and 25.9 assists per contest, which ranks them 25th and 7th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 26th with 13.2 per game.

Useful Team Statistics

The Heat surrender 109.1 points per contest, which ranks them 10th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 45% shooting percentage and a 35% average from 3-point range, ranking them 7th and 6th in those defensive statistics. They rank 15th with 24.6 assists allowed per contest, and 3rd with 42.5 rebounds surrendered per game. The Heat are 10th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 14.0 per game. Miami is 15th in the league with 112.0 points per game this year. They are 8th in the league in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin is 3.0. They shoot 38% from 3-point range, which is good for 2nd in the NBA. They are 17th in the league in rebounding with 44.4 boards per game and 5th in assists per contest with 25.9. The Heat are 13th in turnovers per game with 14.9.

Advanced Statistics

The Pacers are 19th in the NBA in offensive rating with 110, and their defensive rating of 108 is ranked 6th. In terms of pace they are 20th in the league with 98.9 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 53% is 12th. As a team they are 18th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 32% of their shots, ranking 30th in the league. Indiana is 26th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 51%, which is 26th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Miami is 7th in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.5 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.6 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 52%, which is 20th in the league. The Heat are 7th in the NBA in offensive rating with 112.5, and their defensive rating of 109.5 is ranked 10th. In terms of pace they are 27th in the league with 98.3 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 55% is 3rd. As a team they are 1st in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 59% and they shoot 3-pointers on 42% of their shots, ranking 7th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Pacers/Heat NBA game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Indiana +8

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