Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat Prediction, 8/22/2020 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat

Date: Saturday, August 22, 2020

Location: AdventHealth Arena in Orlando, Florida

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: Miami -4.5

Total/Over-Under: 214.5

Jimmy Butler and the Miami Heat play the Indiana Pacers at AdventHealth Arena on Saturday in Game 3 of their series. Indiana opens this game as 4.5-point dogs. The total is set at 214.5.

The Heat lead the series 2-0 after winning Game 2 by a score of 109-100. Duncan Robinson led Miami with 24 points on 7 of 8 from downtown. Myles Turner led Indiana with 17 points and 8 boards in the loss.

The Pacers cover the spread 55.6% of the time, having gone 40-32-3 ATS. Miami is covering 52.0% of the time, going 38-35-2 against the spread.

Key Indiana Pacers Injuries

07/24/20 PF Domantas Sabonis Foot is out indefinitely
02/24/20 SG Jeremy Lamb ACL is out for season

Key Miami Heat Injuries

08/20/20 SF KZ Okpala Personal is questionable Saturday vs Indiana

Player Spotlight

Malcolm Brogdon comes into this game averaging 16.5 points per contest while playing 30.9 minutes per night this year. He grabs 4.9 rebounds per contest and distributes 7.1 assists per game. His FG percentage is 44% while his free throw percentage is 89%. T.J. Warren averages 19.8 points per contest in 32.9 minutes per game. He averages 1.5 assists per game and 4.2 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 54% for the season while his free throw percentage is 82%.

Player Spotlight

Jimmy Butler scores 19.9 points per contest while playing 33.8 minutes per game. He hauls in 6.7 rebounds per contest and has 6.0 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 46% and his free throw percentage is at 83%. Tyler Herro averages 13.5 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 27.4 minutes per game. He also brings in 4.1 rebounds per game and has 2.2 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 43% and his free throw percentage is 87%.

Useful Team Statistics

Indiana averages 109.4 points per contest, which is 23rd in the league. Their average scoring margin is 2.0 and their shooting percentage is 48% as a unit, which has them ranked 2nd. From 3-point territory they shoot 36%, which is good for 14th in the NBA. They average 42.8 boards per contest and 25.9 assists per game, which ranks them 25th and 7th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 26th with 13.2 per game. The Pacers allow 107.5 points per contest, which is 3rd in the NBA. They also surrender a 45% shooting percentage and a 34% average from 3-point range, ranking them 6th and 4th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 45.2 rebounds a game which ranks 16th, and they allow 23.1 assists per game which puts them in 6th place in the league. They force 14.7 turnovers per game which ranks them 18th in the NBA.

Useful Team Statistics

Miami is 15th in the NBA with 112.0 points per contest this season. They are 8th in the league in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin is 2.95. They shoot 38% from beyond the arc, which is good for 2nd in the league. They are 17th in the NBA in rebounding with 44.4 boards per contest and 5th in assists per game with 25.9. The Heat are 13th in turnovers per contest with 14.9. The Heat give up 109.1 points per game, which ranks them 10th in the league. Their defense surrenders a 45% shooting percentage and a 35% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 7th and 6th in those defensive statistics. They rank 15th with 24.6 dimes allowed per game and 3rd with 42.5 boards surrendered per contest. The Heat are 10th in the league in forcing turnovers with 14.0 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Pacers are 19th in the NBA in offensive rating with 110, and their defensive rating of 108 is ranked 6th. In terms of pace they are 20th in the league with 98.9 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 53% is 12th. As a team they are 18th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 32% of their shots, ranking 30th in the league. Indiana is 26th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 51%, which is 26th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Miami is 7th in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.5 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.6 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 52%, which is 20th in the league. The Heat are 7th in the NBA in offensive rating with 112.5, and their defensive rating of 109.5 is ranked 10th. In terms of pace they are 27th in the league with 98.3 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 55% is 3rd. As a team they are 1st in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 59% and they shoot 3-pointers on 42% of their shots, ranking 7th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Pacers/Heat NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Miami -4.5

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