Indiana Pacers vs Chicago Bulls Predictions, Expert NBA Pick 3/6/2020

Game: Indiana Pacers vs Chicago Bulls

Date: Friday, March 6, 2020

Location: United Center in Chicago, IL

TV: NBC Sports Chicago Plus

Odds/Point Spread: Indiana -4.5

Total/Over-Under: 230

Domantas Sabonis and the Indiana Pacers (37-25, 2nd in the Central Division) travel to United Center on Friday where they'll take on the Chicago Bulls (21-41, 3rd in the Central Division). Chicago opens this game as 4.5 point underdogs. The over/under has been set at 230.

The Pacers cover the spread 53.3% of the time, having gone 32-28-2 ATS. Chicago covers the spread 44.3% of the time, going 27-34-1 against the spread.

Key Indiana Pacers Injuries

03/05/20 SG Malcolm Brogdon Hip left last game, is questionable Friday vs Chicago
03/05/20 SG Victor Oladipo Knee is questionable Friday vs Chicago
02/24/20 SG Jeremy Lamb ACL is out for season

Key Chicago Bulls Injuries

03/04/20 PG Zach LaVine Quad is questionable Friday vs Indiana
02/27/20 PF Luke Kornet Ankle is out 6-8 weeks
02/21/20 SF Chandler Hutchison Shoulder is out indefinitely
02/04/20 PG Kris Dunn Knee is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Domantas Sabonis comes into this contest averaging 18.2 points per game while playing 34.6 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 12.4 rebounds per game and dishes out 5.0 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 54% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 73%. Myles Turner averages 11.6 points per game in 29.3 minutes per contest this season. He averages 1.1 assists per contest and 6.4 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 44% for the year while his free throw percentage is 76%.

Player Spotlight

Coby White averages 12.8 points per game while playing 25.2 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 3.5 rebounds per game and has 2.5 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 39% and his free throw percentage is at 79%. Thaddeus Young averages 10.3 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 24.9 minutes per contest. He also averages 4.9 rebounds per contest and 1.8 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 45% and his free throw percentage is 59%.

Useful Team Statistics

Indiana averages 109.3 points per contest this season, which ranks them 21st in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 1.9 and their shooting percentage is 48% as a team, which has them ranked 3rd. Behind the arc they shoot 36% which is good for 12th in the league. They average 42.7 rebounds per game and 26.1 assists per game, which ranks them 26th and 7th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 26th with 13.0 per game. The Pacers allow 107.4 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 7th in the league. They also allow a 45% shooting percentage and a 35% average from behind the arc, ranking them 7th and 10th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 44.7 rebounds a game which ranks 13th and they give up 23.2 assists per contest, which puts them in 6th place in the league. They force 14.5 turnovers per game which ranks them 17th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

Chicago is 25th in the league with 106.9 points per game this year. They are 24th in the league in shooting at 45%, while their average scoring margin is -3.2. They shoot 35% from 3-point range, which is good for 22nd in the NBA. They are 30th in the league in rebounding with 41.9 boards per game, and 23rd in assists per contest with 23.2. The Bulls are 5th in turnovers per game with 15.5. The Bulls surrender 110.1 points per contest, which ranks them 14th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 48% shooting percentage and a 35% average from 3-point range, ranking them 27th and 15th in those defensive statistics. They rank 25th with 25.5 assists allowed per contest and 21st with 45.6 rebounds surrendered per game. The Bulls are 30th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 18.0 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Pacers are 16th in the NBA in offensive rating with 110.2, and their defensive rating of 108.3 is ranked 7th. In terms of pace they are 24th in the league with 98.5 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 53% is 10th. As a team they are 15th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 31% of their shots, ranking 30th in the league. Indiana is 26th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.9 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.9 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 51%, which is 24th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Chicago is 4th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.7 times per 100 possessions while forcing 16.1 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 55%, which is 4th in the NBA. The Bulls are 26th in the league in defensive rating with 109.9, and their offensive rating of 106.8 is ranked 15th. They are 16th in the NBA in pace with 99.6 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 52% is 23rd. As a unit they are 26th in the league in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3-pointers on 40% of their shot attempts, ranking 11th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Pacers/Bulls NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Indiana -4.5

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