Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, 8/24/2020 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Date: Monday, August 24, 2020

Location: AdventHealth Arena in Orlando, Florida

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: Houston -3.5

Total/Over-Under: 219.5

AdventHealth Arena is the site where Chris Paul and the Oklahoma City Thunder will take on the Houston Rockets on Monday in Game 4 of their series. Houston opens this matchup as 3.5-point favorites. The over/under is set at 219.5.

Houston leads the series 2-1 after losing Game 3 by a score of 119-107. Shai Gigeous-Alexander led OKC with 23 points, 7 rebounds, and 6 assists. James Harden led Houston with 38 pts, 7 boards, and 8 assists in the losing effort.

The Rockets cover the spread 46.7% of the time, having gone 35-40-0 ATS. Oklahoma City covers the spread 60.0% of the time, going 45-30-0 against the spread.

Key Houston Rockets Injuries

08/14/20 PG Russell Westbrook Quad is out indefinitely
07/21/20 SF Thabo Sefolosha Personal is out for season

Key Oklahoma City Thunder Injuries

08/22/20 C Steven Adams Knee is questionable Monday vs Houston

Player Spotlight

Eric Gordon comes into this game averaging 14.4 points per contest while playing 28.2 minutes per night this year. He grabs 2.0 rebounds per contest and distributes 1.5 assists per game. His FG percentage is 37% while his free throw percentage is 77%. Robert Covington averages 12.4 points per contest in 30.5 minutes per game. He averages 1.3 assists per game and 6.6 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 42% for the season while his free throw percentage is 80%.

Player Spotlight

Chris Paul scores 17.6 points per contest while playing 31.5 minutes per game. He hauls in 5.0 rebounds per contest and has 6.7 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 49% and his free throw percentage is at 91%. Danilo Gallinari averages 18.7 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 29.6 minutes per game. He also brings in 5.2 rebounds per game and has 1.9 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 44% and his free throw percentage is 89%.

Useful Team Statistics

Houston averages 117.8 points per contest, which is 2nd in the league. Their average scoring margin is 3.0 and their shooting percentage is 45% as a unit, which has them ranked 22nd. From 3-point territory they shoot 35%, which is good for 24th in the NBA. They average 44.3 boards per contest and 21.6 assists per game, which ranks them 18th and 29th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 16th with 14.7 per game. The Rockets allow 114.8 points per contest, which is 23rd in the NBA. They also surrender a 46% shooting percentage and a 35% average from 3-point range, ranking them 14th and 7th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 47.9 rebounds a game which ranks 30th, and they allow 25.3 assists per game which puts them in 23rd place in the league. They force 16.2 turnovers per game which ranks them 28th in the NBA.

Useful Team Statistics

Oklahoma City is 21st in the NBA with 110.4 points per contest this season. They are 10th in the league in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin is 1.99. They shoot 36% from beyond the arc, which is good for 18th in the league. They are 23rd in the NBA in rebounding with 42.9 boards per contest and 28th in assists per game with 21.7. The Thunder are 25th in turnovers per contest with 13.7. The Thunder give up 108.4 points per game, which ranks them 7th in the league. Their defense surrenders a 46% shooting percentage and a 34% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 10th and 3rd in those defensive statistics. They rank 5th with 23.0 dimes allowed per game and 13th with 44.8 boards surrendered per contest. The Thunder are 13th in the league in forcing turnovers with 14.2 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Rockets are 6th in the NBA in offensive rating with 112.9, and their defensive rating of 110.1 is ranked 14th. In terms of pace they are 2nd in the league with 103.7 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 54% is 7th. As a team they are 5th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 50% of their shots, ranking 1st in the league. Houston is 20th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.6 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.7 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 53%, which is 17th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Oklahoma City is 22nd in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.4 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.6 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 52%, which is 22nd in the NBA. The Thunder are 16th in the league in defensive rating with 108.8, and their offensive rating of 110.8 is ranked 7th. They are 22nd in the NBA in pace with 98.8 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 53% is 18th. As a unit they are 9th in the league in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 35% of their shot attempts, ranking 25th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Rockets/Thunder NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Oklahoma City +3.5

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