Heat vs Warriors Predictions, Picks, Betting Tips 2/10/2020

Game: Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors

Date: Monday, February 10, 2020

Location: Chase Center in San Francisco, CA

TV: NBC Sports Bay Area

Odds/Point Spread: Miami -8.5

Total/Over-Under: 226

Jimmy Butler and the Miami Heat (34-17, 1st in the Southeast Division) travel to Chase Center on Monday where they'll take on the Golden State Warriors (12-41, 5th in the Pacific Division). The spread on this game has Miami as 8.5 point favorites. The over/under has been set at 226.

The Heat cover the spread 57.1% of the time, having gone 28-21-2 ATS. Golden State is covering 49.1% of the time, going 26-27-0 against the spread.

Key Miami Heat Injuries

02/08/20 SG Jimmy Butler Shoulder is downgraded to out Sunday vs Portland
02/08/20 SF Andre Iguodala Acquired is out indefinitely
02/08/20 SG Tyler Herro Foot is downgraded to doubtful Sunday vs Portland
02/08/20 PF Meyers Leonard Ankle is out Sunday vs Portland

Key Golden State Warriors Injuries

10/30/19 PG Stephen Curry Hand is out indefinitely
10/19/19 SG Klay Thompson Knee is out indefinitely
02/08/20 PF Draymond Green Back is questionable Monday vs Miami

Player Spotlight

Jimmy Butler comes into this contest averaging 20.5 points per game while playing 34.5 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 6.8 rebounds per game and dishes out 6.3 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 45% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 84%. Kendrick Nunn averages 15.8 points per game in 30.3 minutes per contest this season. He averages 3.5 assists per contest and 2.8 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 45% for the year while his free throw percentage is 83%.

Player Spotlight

Andrew Wiggins averages 22.5 points per game while playing 34.6 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 5.1 rebounds per game and has 3.7 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 45% and his free throw percentage is at 71%. Draymond Green averages 8.4 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 29.0 minutes per contest. He also averages 6.3 rebounds per contest and 6.1 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 39% and his free throw percentage is 75%.

Useful Team Statistics

Miami averages 111.9 points per contest this season, which ranks them 15th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 3.7 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a team, which has them ranked 8th. Behind the arc they shoot 38% which is good for 2nd in the league. They average 45.1 rebounds per game and 25.1 assists per game, which ranks them 18th and 12th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 11th with 15.1 per game. The Heat allow 108.2 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 11th in the league. They also allow a 45% shooting percentage and a 33% average from behind the arc, ranking them 6th and 1st in those defensive categories. Opponents average 42.0 rebounds a game which ranks 3rd and they give up 24.8 assists per contest, which puts them in 21st place in the league. They force 13.4 turnovers per game which ranks them 7th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

Golden State is 25th in the league with 106.4 points per game this year. They are 29th in the league in shooting at 43%, while their average scoring margin is -8.4. They shoot 34% from 3-point range, which is good for 26th in the NBA. They are 23rd in the league in rebounding with 43.2 boards per game, and 11th in assists per contest with 25.2. The Warriors are 19th in turnovers per game with 14.6. The Warriors surrender 114.8 points per contest, which ranks them 23rd in the NBA. Their defense allows a 48% shooting percentage and a 38% average from 3-point range, ranking them 25th and 29th in those defensive statistics. They rank 27th with 25.8 assists allowed per contest and 28th with 47.3 rebounds surrendered per game. The Warriors are 28th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 16.1 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Heat are 7th in the league in defensive rating with 108.8, and their offensive rating of 112.6 is ranked 14th. They are 26th in the NBA in pace with 97.9 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 55% is 4th. As a unit they are 2nd in the league in true shooting percentage with 59% and they shoot 3-pointers on 41% of their shot attempts, ranking 8th in the NBA. Miami is 4th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.7 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 52%, which is 21st in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Golden State is 17th in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.8 times per 100 possessions while forcing 14 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 55%, which is 4th in the league. The Warriors are 30th in the NBA in offensive rating with 104.9, and their defensive rating of 113.2 is ranked 25th. In terms of pace they are 13th in the league with 100.5 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 49% is 30th. As a team they are 28th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 54% and they shoot 3-pointers on 34% of their shots, ranking 26th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Heat/Warriors NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Golden State +8.5

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