Heat vs Spurs 1/19/2020 NBA Prediction, Pick, Tips

Game: Miami Heat vs San Antonio Spurs

Date: Sunday, January 19, 2020

Location: AT&T Center in San Antonio, TX

TV: Fox Sports Southwest - San Antonio

Odds/Point Spread: Miami -1.5

Total/Over-Under: 221

Kendrick Nunn and the Miami Heat (29-12, 1st in the Southeast Division) head to AT&T Center on Sunday where they'll take on the San Antonio Spurs (17-23, 4th in the Southwest Division). The line on this game has Miami as 1.5 point favorites. The over/under has been set at 221.

The Heat cover the spread 61.5% of the time, having gone 24-15-2 ATS. San Antonio is covering 38.5% of the time, going 15-24-1 against the spread.

Key Miami Heat Injuries

01/17/20 SG Tyler Herro Knee is questionable Sunday vs San Antonio
01/13/20 SF Justise Winslow Back is out indefinitely

Key San Antonio Spurs Injuries

01/17/20 SF Rudy Gay Undisclosed is questionable Sunday vs Miami

Player Spotlight

Kendrick Nunn comes into this contest averaging 16.0 points per game while playing 30.2 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 2.7 rebounds per game and dishes out 3.5 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 46% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 80%. Jimmy Butler averages 20.3 points per game in 35.1 minutes per contest this season. He averages 6.4 assists per contest and 7.0 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 44% for the year while his free throw percentage is 82%.

Player Spotlight

LaMarcus Aldridge averages 19.1 points per game while playing 32.9 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 7.5 rebounds per game and has 2.4 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 51% and his free throw percentage is at 85%. DeMar DeRozan averages 22.7 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 34.1 minutes per contest. He also averages 5.4 rebounds per contest and 5.2 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 54% and his free throw percentage is 83%.

Useful Team Statistics

Miami averages 111.6 points per contest this season, which ranks them 12th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 3.9 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a team, which has them ranked 4th. Behind the arc they shoot 38% which is good for 2nd in the league. They average 45.5 rebounds per game and 25.2 assists per game, which ranks them 16th and 11th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 4th with 15.7 per game. The Heat allow 107.8 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 11th in the league. They also allow a 45% shooting percentage and a 33% average from behind the arc, ranking them 8th and 1st in those defensive categories. Opponents average 41.6 rebounds a game which ranks 2nd and they give up 24.2 assists per contest, which puts them in 16th place in the league. They force 13.7 turnovers per game which ranks them 7th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

San Antonio is 8th in the league with 113.8 points per game this year. They are 5th in the league in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin is -1.2. They shoot 37% from 3-point range, which is good for 7th in the NBA. They are 6th in the league in rebounding with 46.6 boards per game, and 12th in assists per contest with 24.8. The Spurs are 26th in turnovers per game with 13.1. The Spurs surrender 114.9 points per contest, which ranks them 26th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 46% shooting percentage and a 37% average from 3-point range, ranking them 20th and 23rd in those defensive statistics. They rank 26th with 25.5 assists allowed per contest and 16th with 45.7 rebounds surrendered per game. The Spurs are 2nd in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 12.6 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Heat are 7th in the NBA in offensive rating with 111.9, and their defensive rating of 108 is ranked 13th. In terms of pace they are 26th in the league with 98.3 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 55% is 3rd. As a team they are 1st in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 59% and they shoot 3-pointers on 40% of their shots, ranking 9th in the league. Miami is 3rd in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 14.2 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.3 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 52%, which is 19th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

San Antonio is 28th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.5 times per 100 possessions while forcing 11.1 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 53%, which is 10th in the NBA. The Spurs are 9th in the league in defensive rating with 112.4, and their offensive rating of 111.3 is ranked 23rd. They are 12th in the NBA in pace with 100.7 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 53% is 14th. As a unit they are 13th in the league in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 31% of their shot attempts, ranking 30th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Heat/Spurs NBA game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Miami -1.5

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