Heat vs Magic Predictions, Picks, Betting Tips 2/1/2020

Game: Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic

Date: Saturday, February 1, 2020

Location: Amway Center in Orlando, FL

TV: Fox Sports Florida

Odds/Point Spread: Miami -1

Total/Over-Under: 208

Amway Center is the site where Nikola Vucevic and the Orlando Magic (21-27, 2nd in the Southeast Division) will play the Miami Heat (32-15, 1st in the Southeast Division) on Saturday. Miami opens this game as 1 point favorites. The total opens at 208.

The Heat cover the spread 57.8% of the time, having gone 26-19-2 ATS. Orlando is covering 45.6% of the time, going 21-25-2 against the spread.

Key Miami Heat Injuries

01/30/20 PG Kendrick Nunn Achilles is questionable Saturday vs Orlando
01/13/20 SF Justise Winslow Back is out indefinitely

Key Orlando Magic Injuries

01/17/20 PG D.J. Augustin Knee is out 3-4 weeks
01/10/20 SF Al-Farouq Aminu Knee is out for season
01/02/20 PF Jonathan Isaac Knee is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Jimmy Butler averages 20.2 points per game in 34.8 minutes per contest. He averages 6.4 assists per contest and 6.9 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 44% for the year while his free throw percentage is 84%. Kendrick Nunn comes into this contest averaging 16.2 points per game while playing 30.6 minutes per night. He pulls down 2.8 rebounds per game and dishes out 3.5 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 46% while his free throw percentage is at 83%.

Player Spotlight

Aaron Gordon averages 13.3 points per game and he sees the court an average of 31.7 minutes per contest. He also averages 7.2 rebounds per contest and 2.9 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 42% and his free throw percentage is 66%. Nikola Vucevic averages 18.6 points per game while playing 31.6 minutes per contest. He grabs 11.0 rebounds per game and has 3.5 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 44% and his free throw percentage is at 81%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Heat allow 108.3 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 12th in the league. They also allow a 44% shooting percentage and a 33% average from behind the arc, ranking them 7th and 1st in those defensive categories. Opponents average 42.0 rebounds a game which ranks 2nd, and they give up 24.6 assists per contest which puts them in 21st place in the league. They force 13.4 turnovers per game which ranks them 7th in the league. Miami averages 112.0 points per contest this season, which ranks them 14th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 3.6 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a team, which has them ranked 7th. Behind the arc they shoot 38% which is good for 2nd in the league. They average 45.3 rebounds per game and 25.1 assists per contest, which ranks them 17th and 11th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 7th with 15.4 per game.

Useful Team Statistics

The Magic surrender 104.7 points per contest, which ranks them 1st in the NBA. Their defense allows a 46% shooting percentage and a 36% average from 3-point range, ranking them 13th and 19th in those defensive statistics. They rank 11th with 23.6 assists allowed per contest, and 21st with 46.1 rebounds surrendered per game. The Magic are 19th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 15.0 per game. Orlando is 29th in the league with 103.5 points per game this year. They are 29th in the league in shooting at 43%, while their average scoring margin is -1.3. They shoot 33% from 3-point range, which is good for 28th in the NBA. They are 18th in the league in rebounding with 45.0 boards per game and 24th in assists per contest with 22.6. The Magic are 30th in turnovers per game with 12.6.

Advanced Statistics

The Heat are 7th in the league in defensive rating with 108.5, and their offensive rating of 112.1 is ranked 14th. They are 26th in the NBA in pace with 98.1 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 55% is 3rd. As a unit they are 2nd in the league in true shooting percentage with 59% and they shoot 3-pointers on 40% of their shot attempts, ranking 8th in the NBA. Miami is 4th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.9 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 51%, which is 21st in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Orlando is 28th in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.4 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.7 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 52%, which is 16th in the league. The Magic are 26th in the NBA in offensive rating with 105.6, and their defensive rating of 106.9 is ranked 6th. In terms of pace they are 27th in the league with 97.9 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 49% is 29th. As a team they are 29th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 53% and they shoot 3-pointers on 35% of their shots, ranking 22nd in the league.

Who will win tonight's Heat/Magic NBA game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Miami -1

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