Heat vs Knicks 1/12/2020 NBA Prediction, Pick, Tips

Game: Miami Heat vs New York Knicks

Date: Sunday, January 12, 2020

Location: Madison Square Garden in New York City, NY

TV: MSG

Odds/Point Spread: Miami -3.5

Total/Over-Under: 222

Madison Square Garden is the site where RJ Barrett and the New York Knicks (10-29, 5th in the Atlantic Division) will play the Miami Heat (27-11, 1st in the Southeast Division) on Sunday. The line on this contest has Miami as 3.5 point favorites. The O/U opens at 222.

The Heat are covering the spread 61.1% of the time, having gone 22-14-2 ATS. New York is covering 48.7% of the time, going 19-20-0 against the spread.

Key Miami Heat Injuries

01/10/20 SF Justise Winslow Back is out Sunday vs New York

Key New York Knicks Injuries

01/10/20 PF Marcus Morris Neck is questionable Sunday vs Miami
01/10/20 C Julius Randle Personal is questionable Sunday vs Miami

Player Spotlight

Jimmy Butler comes into this contest averaging 20.6 points per game while playing 35.2 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 6.9 rebounds per game and dishes out 6.5 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 44% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 83%. Bam Adebayo averages 15.9 points per game in 34.3 minutes per contest this season. He averages 4.5 assists per contest and 10.5 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 59% for the year while his free throw percentage is 68%.

Player Spotlight

RJ Barrett averages 13.8 points per game while playing 31.4 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 5.2 rebounds per game and has 2.4 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 39% and his free throw percentage is at 59%. Julius Randle averages 18.5 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 32.1 minutes per contest. He also averages 9.1 rebounds per contest and 3.2 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 45% and his free throw percentage is 70%.

Useful Team Statistics

Miami averages 111.4 points per contest this season, which ranks them 13th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 3.9 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a team, which has them ranked 6th. Behind the arc they shoot 38% which is good for 2nd in the league. They average 45.6 rebounds per game and 25.2 assists per game, which ranks them 14th and 10th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 3rd with 16.0 per game. The Heat allow 107.6 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 11th in the league. They also allow a 44% shooting percentage and a 33% average from behind the arc, ranking them 8th and 1st in those defensive categories. Opponents average 41.8 rebounds a game which ranks 2nd and they give up 24.2 assists per contest, which puts them in 16th place in the league. They force 14.2 turnovers per game which ranks them 8th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

New York is 28th in the league with 104.4 points per game this year. They are 26th in the league in shooting at 44%, while their average scoring margin is -8.2. They shoot 34% from 3-point range, which is good for 23rd in the NBA. They are 9th in the league in rebounding with 46.3 boards per game, and 29th in assists per contest with 21.0. The Knicks are 21st in turnovers per game with 14.2. The Knicks surrender 112.6 points per contest, which ranks them 19th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 47% shooting percentage and a 39% average from 3-point range, ranking them 20th and 30th in those defensive statistics. They rank 17th with 24.3 assists allowed per contest and 22nd with 46.3 rebounds surrendered per game. The Knicks are 9th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 14.2 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Heat are 8th in the league in defensive rating with 107.4, and their offensive rating of 111.3 is ranked 11th. They are 24th in the NBA in pace with 98.5 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 55% is 2nd. As a unit they are 2nd in the league in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 40% of their shot attempts, ranking 10th in the NBA. Miami is 2nd in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 14.4 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.7 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 51%, which is 19th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

New York is 21st in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.5 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.7 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 55%, which is 4th in the NBA. The Knicks are 28th in the league in defensive rating with 113.3, and their offensive rating of 105 is ranked 27th. They are 19th in the NBA in pace with 99.1 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 49% is 28th. As a unit they are 30th in the league in true shooting percentage with 52% and they shoot 3-pointers on 34% of their shot attempts, ranking 26th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Heat/Knicks NBA game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Miami -3.5

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