Heat vs Kings Predictions, Picks, Betting Tips 2/7/2020

Game: Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings

Date: Friday, February 7, 2020

Location: Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, CA

TV: NBC Sports California

Odds/Point Spread: Miami -4.5

Total/Over-Under: 226

Kendrick Nunn and the Miami Heat (34-16, 1st in the Southeast Division) go to Golden 1 Center on Friday where they'll meet the Sacramento Kings (19-31, 4th in the Pacific Division). Miami opens this contest as 4.5 point favorites. The over/under is set at 226.

The Heat are covering 58.3% of the time, having gone 28-20-2 ATS. Sacramento is covering the spread 49.0% of the time, going 24-25-1 against the spread.

Key Miami Heat Injuries

02/06/20 SF Andre Iguodala Acquired is doubtful Friday vs Sacramento
02/06/20 SG Tyler Herro Foot is questionable Friday vs Sacramento
02/06/20 PF Meyers Leonard Ankle is questionable Friday vs Sacramento
02/05/20 SG Jimmy Butler Shoulder left last game, is questionable Friday vs Sacramento

Key Sacramento Kings Injuries

02/05/20 F Marvin Bagley III Foot is doubtful Friday vs Miami
02/05/20 PF Richaun Holmes Shoulder is upgraded to questionable Friday vs Miami
01/31/20 C Alex Len Hip is out indefinitely
01/07/20 PF Jabari Parker Shoulder is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Jimmy Butler averages 20.5 points per game in 34.5 minutes per contest. He averages 6.3 assists per contest and 6.8 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 45% for the year while his free throw percentage is 84%. Kendrick Nunn comes into this contest averaging 15.8 points per game while playing 30.2 minutes per night. He pulls down 2.8 rebounds per game and dishes out 3.5 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 46% while his free throw percentage is at 82%.

Player Spotlight

Buddy Hield averages 20.3 points per game and he sees the court an average of 33.5 minutes per contest. He also averages 5.0 rebounds per contest and 3.1 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 43% and his free throw percentage is 82%. De'Aaron Fox averages 20.2 points per game while playing 31.5 minutes per contest. He grabs 4.3 rebounds per game and has 7.0 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 48% and his free throw percentage is at 69%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Heat allow 108.3 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 11th in the league. They also allow a 44% shooting percentage and a 33% average from behind the arc, ranking them 7th and 1st in those defensive categories. Opponents average 42.2 rebounds a game which ranks 3rd, and they give up 24.8 assists per contest which puts them in 20th place in the league. They force 13.3 turnovers per game which ranks them 7th in the league. Miami averages 112.2 points per contest this season, which ranks them 14th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 4.0 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a team, which has them ranked 6th. Behind the arc they shoot 38% which is good for 2nd in the league. They average 45.1 rebounds per game and 25.2 assists per contest, which ranks them 18th and 11th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 12th with 15.0 per game.

Useful Team Statistics

The Kings surrender 110.6 points per contest, which ranks them 15th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 47% shooting percentage and a 35% average from 3-point range, ranking them 22nd and 15th in those defensive statistics. They rank 19th with 24.6 assists allowed per contest, and 8th with 43.6 rebounds surrendered per game. The Kings are 20th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 15.2 per game. Sacramento is 24th in the league with 107.6 points per game this year. They are 19th in the league in shooting at 46%, while their average scoring margin is -3.1. They shoot 36% from 3-point range, which is good for 16th in the NBA. They are 28th in the league in rebounding with 42.4 boards per game and 23rd in assists per contest with 23.0. The Kings are 10th in turnovers per game with 15.0.

Advanced Statistics

The Heat are 6th in the league in defensive rating with 108.8, and their offensive rating of 112.8 is ranked 14th. They are 27th in the NBA in pace with 97.9 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 55% is 4th. As a unit they are 2nd in the league in true shooting percentage with 59% and they shoot 3-pointers on 40% of their shot attempts, ranking 8th in the NBA. Miami is 5th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.6 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 52%, which is 22nd in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Sacramento is 10th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.5 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.7 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 54%, which is 10th in the NBA. The Kings are 21st in the league in defensive rating with 111.5, and their offensive rating of 108.5 is ranked 20th. They are 26th in the NBA in pace with 98 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 53% is 18th. As a unit they are 20th in the league in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 39% of their shot attempts, ranking 13th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Heat/Kings NBA game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Miami -4.5

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