Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Predictions, Expert NBA Pick 3/3/2020

Game: Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets

Date: Tuesday, March 3, 2020

Location: Pepsi Center in Denver, CO

TV: Altitude

Odds/Point Spread: Denver -15

Total/Over-Under: 216.5

Gary Harris and the Denver Nuggets (41-19, 1st in the Northwest Division) host the Golden State Warriors (13-48, 5th in the Pacific Division) at Pepsi Center on Tuesday, March 3, 2020. The line on this contest has Denver as 15 point favorites. The O/U is set at 216.5.

The Warriors are covering the spread 45.9% of the time, having gone 28-33-0 ATS. Denver covers the spread 50.0% of the time, going 28-28-4 against the spread.

Key Golden State Warriors Injuries

10/30/19 PG Stephen Curry Hand is out indefinitely
10/19/19 SG Klay Thompson Knee is out for season
03/01/20 PF Alen Smailagic Quad is questionable Tuesday vs Denver
03/01/20 C Kevon Looney Hip is questionable Tuesday vs Denver
03/01/20 PF Draymond Green Knee is questionable Tuesday vs Denver
02/27/20 PG Ky Bowman Ankle is out indefinitely

Key Denver Nuggets Injuries

03/01/20 PF Paul Millsap Ankle is questionable Tuesday vs Golden State
03/01/20 PF Noah Vonleh Ankle is questionable Tuesday vs Golden State

Player Spotlight

Andrew Wiggins comes into this contest averaging 22.0 points per game while playing 34.4 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 5.1 rebounds per game and dishes out 3.6 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 45% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 72%. Eric Paschall averages 13.6 points per game in 27.2 minutes per contest this season. He averages 1.8 assists per contest and 4.7 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 49% for the year while his free throw percentage is 78%.

Player Spotlight

Gary Harris averages 10.2 points per game while playing 31.8 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 2.9 rebounds per game and has 2.1 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 41% and his free throw percentage is at 83%. Nikola Jokic averages 20.9 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 32.4 minutes per contest. He also averages 10.2 rebounds per contest and 6.8 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 53% and his free throw percentage is 82%.

Useful Team Statistics

Golden State averages 105.9 points per contest this season, which ranks them 27th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is -9.1 and their shooting percentage is 44% as a team, which has them ranked 29th. Behind the arc they shoot 33% which is good for 29th in the league. They average 43.1 rebounds per game and 25.3 assists per game, which ranks them 22nd and 12th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 8th with 15.2 per game. The Warriors allow 115.0 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 25th in the league. They also allow a 48% shooting percentage and a 39% average from behind the arc, ranking them 26th and 30th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 46.6 rebounds a game which ranks 25th and they give up 26.1 assists per contest, which puts them in 28th place in the league. They force 15.8 turnovers per game which ranks them 26th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

Denver is 18th in the league with 110.9 points per game this year. They are 7th in the league in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin is 3.5. They shoot 36% from 3-point range, which is good for 15th in the NBA. They are 19th in the league in rebounding with 44.4 boards per game, and 4th in assists per contest with 26.6. The Nuggets are 24th in turnovers per game with 13.6. The Nuggets surrender 107.4 points per contest, which ranks them 8th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 46% shooting percentage and a 34% average from 3-point range, ranking them 14th and 4th in those defensive statistics. They rank 21st with 24.9 assists allowed per contest and 6th with 43.0 rebounds surrendered per game. The Nuggets are 12th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 14.3 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Warriors are 30th in the league in defensive rating with 113.4, and their offensive rating of 104.4 is ranked 26th. They are 14th in the NBA in pace with 100.5 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 49% is 30th. As a unit they are 27th in the league in true shooting percentage with 54% and they shoot 3-pointers on 35% of their shot attempts, ranking 24th in the NBA. Golden State is 10th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.3 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.9 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 55%, which is 3rd in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Denver is 24th in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.1 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.9 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 52%, which is 19th in the league. The Nuggets are 8th in the NBA in offensive rating with 112.8, and their defensive rating of 109.3 is ranked 12th. In terms of pace they are 29th in the league with 97.3 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 53% is 13th. As a team they are 16th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 34% of their shots, ranking 26th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Warriors/Nuggets NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Golden State +15

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