Denver Nuggets vs Utah Jazz Prediction, 8/29/2020 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Denver Nuggets vs Utah Jazz

Date: Saturday, August 29, 2020

Location: AdventHealth Arena in Orlando, Florida

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Utah -1.5

Total/Over-Under: 220

Jamal Murray and the Denver Nuggets go to AdventHealth Arena on Saturday where they'll meet the Utah Jazz in Game 6 of their series. Utah opens this game as 1.5-point favorites. The total is set at 220.

Denver cut Utah's series lead to 3-2 with a 117-107 win in Game 5. Jamal Murray once again led the Nuggets with 42 points, 8 rebounds, and 8 dimes. He outdueled Donovan Mitchell this time, but Mitchell still had a great game, tallying 30 points and 5 assists.

The Nuggets cover 48.6% of the time, having gone 36-38-4 ATS. Utah covers the spread 48.0% of the time, going 36-39-2 against the spread.

Key Denver Nuggets Injuries

08/25/20 SG Gary Harris Hip is questionable Thursday vs Utah
08/18/20 SG Will Barton Knee is out indefinitely
08/12/20 SF Vlatko Cancar Foot is out indefinitely

Key Utah Jazz Injuries

08/16/20 C Ed Davis Knee is out for series vs. Denver
06/28/20 SF Bojan Bogdanovic Wrist is out for season

Player Spotlight

Jamal Murray comes into this contest averaging 18.5 points per game while playing 32.3 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 4.0 rebounds per game and dishes out 4.8 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 46% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 88%. Nikola Jokic averages 19.9 points per game in 32.0 minutes per contest this season. He averages 7.0 assists per contest and 9.7 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 53% for the year while his free throw percentage is 82%.

Player Spotlight

Donovan Mitchell averages 24.0 points per game while playing 34.3 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 4.4 rebounds per game and has 4.3 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 45% and his free throw percentage is at 86%. Mike Conley averages 14.4 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 29.0 minutes per contest. He also averages 3.2 rebounds per contest and 4.4 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 41% and his free throw percentage is 83%.

Useful Team Statistics

Denver averages 111.3 points per contest this season, which ranks them 19th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 2.1 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a team, which has them ranked 4th. Behind the arc they shoot 36% which is good for 15th in the league. They average 44.1 rebounds per game and 26.7 assists per game, which ranks them 20th and 4th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 24th with 13.8 per game. The Nuggets allow 109.2 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 11th in the league. They also allow a 46% shooting percentage and a 36% average from behind the arc, ranking them 17th and 17th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 42.6 rebounds a game which ranks 4th and they give up 25.4 assists per contest, which puts them in 24th place in the league. They force 14.3 turnovers per game which ranks them 14th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

Utah is 18th in the league with 111.3 points per game this year. They are 6th in the league in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin is 2.5. They shoot 38% from 3-point range, which is good for 1st in the NBA. They are 13th in the league in rebounding with 44.9 boards per game, and 26th in assists per contest with 22.4. The Jazz are 10th in turnovers per game with 15.1. The Jazz surrender 108.8 points per contest, which ranks them 9th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 46% shooting percentage and a 35% average from 3-point range, ranking them 12th and 14th in those defensive statistics. They rank 1st with 21.5 assists allowed per contest and 5th with 42.7 rebounds surrendered per game. The Jazz are 2nd in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 12.3 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Nuggets are 5th in the league in defensive rating with 111, and their offensive rating of 113.1 is ranked 16th. They are 29th in the NBA in pace with 97.1 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 54% is 9th. As a unit they are 15th in the league in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 34% of their shot attempts, ranking 27th in the NBA. Denver is 23rd in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.3 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.9 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 53%, which is 14th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Utah is 6th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.7 times per 100 possessions while forcing 11.1 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 52%, which is 23rd in the NBA. The Jazz are 10th in the league in defensive rating with 109.9, and their offensive rating of 112.3 is ranked 13th. They are 26th in the NBA in pace with 98.6 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 55% is 2nd. As a unit they are 2nd in the league in true shooting percentage with 59% and they shoot 3-pointers on 41% of their shot attempts, ranking 8th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Nuggets/Jazz NBA game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Denver +1.5

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