Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers Prediction, 8/10/2020 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers

Date: Monday, August 10, 2020

Location: The Arena in Orlando, Florida

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: Los Angeles -5.5

Total/Over-Under: 222

Anthony Davis and the Los Angeles Lakers (51-18, 1st in the Pacific Division) host the Denver Nuggets (46-24, 1st in the Northwest Division) at The Arena on Monday. Denver opens this matchup as 5.5-point dogs. The total has been set at 222.

The Nuggets cover the spread 48.5% of the time, having gone 32-34-4 ATS. Los Angeles covers the spread 52.9% of the time, going 36-32-1 against the spread.

Key Denver Nuggets Injuries

08/08/20 SG Will Barton Knee is questionable Monday vs LA Lakers
08/08/20 SF Vlatko Cancar Foot is questionable Monday vs LA Lakers
08/08/20 SG Gary Harris Hip is questionable Monday vs LA Lakers
08/08/20 SF Troy Daniels Hip is questionable Monday vs LA Lakers

Key Los Angeles Lakers Injuries

08/08/20 SG Danny Green Hip is questionable Monday vs Denver
07/12/20 PG Rajon Rondo Thumb is out 6-8 weeks
06/28/20 SG Avery Bradley Personal is out for season

Player Spotlight

Nikola Jokic comes into this contest averaging 20.4 points per game while playing 32.5 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 10.0 rebounds per game and dishes out 7.0 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 53% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 82%. Michael Porter Jr. averages 9.2 points per game in 16.1 minutes per contest this season. He averages 0.8 assists per contest and 4.7 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 50% for the year while his free throw percentage is 84%.

Player Spotlight

Anthony Davis averages 26.1 points per game while playing 34.3 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 9.4 rebounds per game and has 3.2 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 50% and his free throw percentage is at 85%. Danny Green averages 8.1 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 24.9 minutes per contest. He also averages 3.3 rebounds per contest and 1.3 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 42% and his free throw percentage is 69%.

Useful Team Statistics

Denver averages 111.2 points per contest this season, which ranks them 18th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 2.5 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a team, which has them ranked 4th. Behind the arc they shoot 36% which is good for 15th in the league. They average 44.3 rebounds per game and 26.6 assists per game, which ranks them 18th and 4th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 23rd with 13.8 per game. The Nuggets allow 108.6 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 10th in the league. They also allow a 46% shooting percentage and a 35% average from behind the arc, ranking them 14th and 15th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 42.7 rebounds a game which ranks 4th and they give up 25.3 assists per contest, which puts them in 24th place in the league. They force 14.3 turnovers per game which ranks them 14th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

Los Angeles is 11th in the league with 113.2 points per game this year. They are 3rd in the league in shooting at 48%, while their average scoring margin is 6.1. They shoot 35% from 3-point range, which is good for 24th in the NBA. They are 8th in the league in rebounding with 45.9 boards per game, and 10th in assists per contest with 25.3. The Lakers are 9th in turnovers per game with 15.2. The Lakers surrender 107.0 points per contest, which ranks them 2nd in the NBA. Their defense allows a 45% shooting percentage and a 34% average from 3-point range, ranking them 6th and 6th in those defensive statistics. They rank 6th with 23.2 assists allowed per contest and 3rd with 42.3 rebounds surrendered per game. The Lakers are 26th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 16.0 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Nuggets are 6th in the NBA in offensive rating with 112.9, and their defensive rating of 110.3 is ranked 15th. In terms of pace they are 29th in the league with 97.2 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 53% is 12th. As a team they are 16th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 34% of their shots, ranking 27th in the league. Denver is 23rd in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.3 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 53%, which is 15th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Los Angeles is 9th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.3 times per 100 possessions while forcing 14.1 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 51%, which is 27th in the NBA. The Lakers are 11th in the league in defensive rating with 105.6, and their offensive rating of 111.6 is ranked 3rd. They are 11th in the NBA in pace with 101.1 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 54% is 5th. As a unit they are 10th in the league in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 36% of their shot attempts, ranking 23rd in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Nuggets/Lakers NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Denver +5.5

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