Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Clippers Prediction, 9/15/2020 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Clippers

Date: Tuesday, September 15, 2020

Location: AdventHealth Arena in Orlando, Florida

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Los Angeles -6.5

Total/Over-Under: 208

AdventHealth Arena is the site where Lou Williams and the Los Angeles Clippers will take on the Denver Nuggets on Tuesday in Game 7 of their series. The spread on this game has Los Angeles as 6.5-point favorites. The over/under opens at 208.

The Nuggets were able to overcome another double digit deficit to win Game 6 by a score of 111-98 on Sunday. Nikola Jokic once again led Denver with 34 pts, 14 boards, and 7 assists. Paul George had a solid overall game in the loss for L.A., tallying 33 points, 6 rebounds, and 3 assists. The Clippers led by 19 points with only 22 minutes remaining in the game, but ended up losing by 13, so the way they ended the game should concern Clippers fans going into a winner take all scenario.

The Nuggets are covering the spread 50.6% of the time, having gone 41-40-5 ATS. Los Angeles covers the spread 56.0% of the time, going 47-37-0 against the spread.

Key Denver Nuggets Injuries

9/14/2020 Vlatko Cancar SF Foot Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
8/28/2020 Will Barton SF Knee Expected to be out until at least Oct 1

Key Los Angeles Clippers Injuries

No key injuries to report

Player Spotlight

Jamal Murray averages 18.5 points per game in 32.3 minutes per contest. He averages 4.8 assists per contest and 4.0 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 46% for the year while his free throw percentage is 88%. Nikola Jokic comes into this contest averaging 19.9 points per game while playing 32.0 minutes per night. He pulls down 9.7 rebounds per game and dishes out 7.0 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 53% while his free throw percentage is at 82%.

Player Spotlight

Kawhi Leonard averages 27.1 points per game and he sees the court an average of 32.4 minutes per contest. He also averages 7.1 rebounds per contest and 4.9 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 47% and his free throw percentage is 89%. Lou Williams averages 18.2 points per game while playing 28.7 minutes per contest. He grabs 3.1 rebounds per game and has 5.6 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 42% and his free throw percentage is at 86%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Nuggets allow 109.2 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 11th in the league. They also allow a 46% shooting percentage and a 36% average from behind the arc, ranking them 17th and 17th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 42.6 rebounds a game which ranks 4th, and they give up 25.4 assists per contest which puts them in 24th place in the league. They force 14.3 turnovers per game which ranks them 14th in the league. Denver averages 111.3 points per contest this season, which ranks them 19th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 2.1 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a team, which has them ranked 4th. Behind the arc they shoot 36% which is good for 15th in the league. They average 44.1 rebounds per game and 26.7 assists per contest, which ranks them 20th and 4th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 24th with 13.8 per game.

Useful Team Statistics

The Clippers surrender 109.9 points per contest, which ranks them 13th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 44% shooting percentage and a 35% average from 3-point range, ranking them 3rd and 5th in those defensive statistics. They rank 9th with 23.7 assists allowed per contest, and 18th with 45.3 rebounds surrendered per game. The Clippers are 11th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 14.1 per game. Los Angeles is 4th in the league with 116.3 points per game this year. They are 12th in the league in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin is 6.4. They shoot 37% from 3-point range, which is good for 6th in the NBA. They are 3rd in the league in rebounding with 47.7 boards per game and 22nd in assists per contest with 23.7. The Clippers are 18th in turnovers per game with 14.6.

Advanced Statistics

The Nuggets are 5th in the league in defensive rating with 111, and their offensive rating of 113.1 is ranked 16th. They are 29th in the NBA in pace with 97.1 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 54% is 9th. As a unit they are 15th in the league in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 34% of their shot attempts, ranking 27th in the NBA. Denver is 23rd in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.3 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.9 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 53%, which is 14th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Los Angeles is 21st in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.6 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.2 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 51%, which is 28th in the league. The Clippers are 2nd in the NBA in offensive rating with 113.9, and their defensive rating of 107.6 is ranked 5th. In terms of pace they are 8th in the league with 101.5 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 54% is 10th. As a team they are 6th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 38% of their shots, ranking 17th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Nuggets/Clippers NBA game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Denver +6.5

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