Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Clippers Prediction, 9/11/2020 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Clippers

Date: Friday, September 11, 2020

Location: The Field House in Orlando, Florida

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: Los Angeles -8

Total/Over-Under: 217

The Field House is the venue where Lou Williams and the Los Angeles Clippers will play the Denver Nuggets on Friday in Game 5 of their series. Denver opens this game as 8-point dogs. The O/U is set at 217.

The Clippers took a 3-1 series lead with a 96-85 win in Game 4. Kawhi Leonard led L.A. with 30 pts, 11 rebounds, and 9 assists, just narrowly missing a triple-double. Nikola Jokic led Denver in the loss with 26 points, 11 boards, and 6 dimes. 

The Nuggets are covering 49.4% of the time, having gone 39-40-5 ATS. Los Angeles is covering 57.3% of the time, going 47-35-0 against the spread.

Key Denver Nuggets Injuries

9/2/2020 Vlatko Cancar SF Foot Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
8/28/2020 Will Barton SF Knee Expected to be out until at least Oct 1

Key Los Angeles Clippers Injuries

No key injuries to report

Player Spotlight

Nikola Jokic comes into this contest averaging 19.9 points per game while playing 32.0 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 9.7 rebounds per game and dishes out 7.0 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 53% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 82%. Gary Harris averages 10.4 points per game in 31.8 minutes per contest this season. He averages 2.1 assists per contest and 2.9 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 42% for the year while his free throw percentage is 82%.

Player Spotlight

Lou Williams averages 18.2 points per game while playing 28.7 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 3.1 rebounds per game and has 5.6 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 42% and his free throw percentage is at 86%. Paul George averages 21.5 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 29.6 minutes per contest. He also averages 5.7 rebounds per contest and 3.9 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 44% and his free throw percentage is 88%.

Useful Team Statistics

Denver averages 111.3 points per contest this season, which ranks them 19th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 2.1 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a team, which has them ranked 4th. Behind the arc they shoot 36% which is good for 15th in the league. They average 44.1 rebounds per game and 26.7 assists per game, which ranks them 20th and 4th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 24th with 13.8 per game. The Nuggets allow 109.2 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 11th in the league. They also allow a 46% shooting percentage and a 36% average from behind the arc, ranking them 17th and 17th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 42.6 rebounds a game which ranks 4th and they give up 25.4 assists per contest, which puts them in 24th place in the league. They force 14.3 turnovers per game which ranks them 14th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

Los Angeles is 4th in the league with 116.3 points per game this year. They are 12th in the league in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin is 6.4. They shoot 37% from 3-point range, which is good for 6th in the NBA. They are 3rd in the league in rebounding with 47.7 boards per game, and 22nd in assists per contest with 23.7. The Clippers are 18th in turnovers per game with 14.6. The Clippers surrender 109.9 points per contest, which ranks them 13th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 44% shooting percentage and a 35% average from 3-point range, ranking them 3rd and 5th in those defensive statistics. They rank 9th with 23.7 assists allowed per contest and 18th with 45.3 rebounds surrendered per game. The Clippers are 11th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 14.1 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Nuggets are 5th in the league in defensive rating with 111, and their offensive rating of 113.1 is ranked 16th. They are 29th in the NBA in pace with 97.1 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 54% is 9th. As a unit they are 15th in the league in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 34% of their shot attempts, ranking 27th in the NBA. Denver is 23rd in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.3 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.9 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 53%, which is 14th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Los Angeles is 21st in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.6 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.2 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 51%, which is 28th in the league. The Clippers are 2nd in the NBA in offensive rating with 113.9, and their defensive rating of 107.6 is ranked 5th. In terms of pace they are 8th in the league with 101.5 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 54% is 10th. As a team they are 6th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 38% of their shots, ranking 17th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Nuggets/Clippers NBA game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Denver +8

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here