Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs Predictions, Free NBA Pick 3/10/2020

Game: Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs

Date: Tuesday, March 10, 2020

Location: AT&T Center in San Antonio, TX

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: Dallas -3

Total/Over-Under: 226

Kristaps Porzingis and the Dallas Mavericks (39-26, 2nd in the Southwest Division) head to AT&T Center on Tuesday where they'll meet the San Antonio Spurs (26-36, 5th in the Southwest Division). Dallas opens this contest as 3 point favorites. The over/under opens at 226.

The Mavericks cover the spread 54.8% of the time, having gone 34-28-3 ATS. San Antonio is covering the spread 39.3% of the time, going 24-37-1 against the spread.

Key Dallas Mavericks Injuries

03/08/20 SF Michael Kidd-Gilchrist Illness is questionable Tuesday vs San Antonio
03/08/20 SG Seth Curry Ankle is questionable Tuesday vs San Antonio
03/08/20 SF Dorian Finney-Smith Hip is questionable Tuesday vs San Antonio
02/24/20 PG Jalen Brunson Shoulder is out indefinitely
01/21/20 PF Dwight Powell Achilles is out for season

Key San Antonio Spurs Injuries

03/08/20 G Lonnie Walker IV Shin is questionable Tuesday vs Dallas
03/08/20 C LaMarcus Aldridge Shoulder is questionable Tuesday vs Dallas
03/08/20 SG Marco Belinelli Illness is questionable Tuesday vs Dallas
03/01/20 C Jakob Poeltl Knee is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Kristaps Porzingis comes into this game averaging 19.4 points per contest while playing 31.2 minutes per night this year. He grabs 9.4 rebounds per contest and distributes 1.7 assists per game. His FG percentage is 42% while his free throw percentage is 78%. Tim Hardaway averages 15.8 points per contest in 28.5 minutes per game. He averages 2.0 assists per game and 3.0 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 44% for the season while his free throw percentage is 81%.

Player Spotlight

Bryn Forbes scores 11.3 points per contest while playing 25.1 minutes per game. He hauls in 2.0 rebounds per contest and has 1.7 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 42% and his free throw percentage is at 83%. DeMar DeRozan averages 22.3 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 34.3 minutes per game. He also brings in 5.7 rebounds per game and has 5.5 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 53% and his free throw percentage is 84%.

Useful Team Statistics

Dallas averages 116.5 points per contest, which is 3rd in the league. Their average scoring margin is 6.1 and their shooting percentage is 46% as a unit, which has them ranked 13th. From 3-point territory they shoot 37%, which is good for 8th in the NBA. They average 47.0 boards per contest and 24.5 assists per game, which ranks them 5th and 13th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 28th with 12.8 per game. The Mavericks allow 110.4 points per contest, which is 15th in the NBA. They also surrender a 45% shooting percentage and a 34% average from 3-point range, ranking them 12th and 5th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 45.5 rebounds a game which ranks 17th, and they allow 23.6 assists per game which puts them in 9th place in the league. They force 12.2 turnovers per game which ranks them 2nd in the NBA.

Useful Team Statistics

San Antonio is 11th in the NBA with 113.1 points per contest this season. They are 9th in the league in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin is -1.95. They shoot 37% from beyond the arc, which is good for 7th in the league. They are 18th in the NBA in rebounding with 44.5 boards per contest and 14th in assists per game with 24.4. The Spurs are 30th in turnovers per contest with 12.3. The Spurs give up 115.0 points per game, which ranks them 25th in the league. Their defense surrenders a 47% shooting percentage and a 38% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 21st and 26th in those defensive statistics. They rank 27th with 25.8 dimes allowed per game and 21st with 45.7 boards surrendered per contest. The Spurs are 6th in the league in forcing turnovers with 13.0 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Mavericks are 1st in the league in defensive rating with 110.7, and their offensive rating of 116.8 is ranked 17th. They are 18th in the NBA in pace with 99.1 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 55% is 4th. As a unit they are 4th in the league in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 46% of their shot attempts, ranking 2nd in the NBA. Dallas is 29th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.3 times per 100 possessions while forcing 10.8 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 52%, which is 22nd in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

San Antonio is 30th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11 times per 100 possessions while forcing 11.5 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 54%, which is 7th in the NBA. The Spurs are 12th in the league in defensive rating with 113.7, and their offensive rating of 111.8 is ranked 26th. They are 15th in the NBA in pace with 99.9 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 53% is 21st. As a unit they are 11th in the league in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 32% of their shot attempts, ranking 28th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Mavericks/Spurs NBA game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take San Antonio +3

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