Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs Predictions, Free NBA Pick 2/26/2020

Game: Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs

Date: Wednesday, February 26, 2020

Location: AT&T Center in San Antonio, TX

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Dallas -3.5

Total/Over-Under: 226

AT&T Center is the site where DeMar DeRozan and the San Antonio Spurs (24-32, 5th in the Southwest Division) will take on the Dallas Mavericks (35-23, 2nd in the Southwest Division) on Wednesday. The spread on this game has Dallas as 3.5 point favorites. The over/under has been set at 226.

The Mavericks cover the spread 56.4% of the time, having gone 31-24-3 ATS. San Antonio is covering 43.6% of the time, going 24-31-1 against the spread.

Key Dallas Mavericks Injuries

02/24/20 PG Jalen Brunson Shoulder is out indefinitely
02/24/20 C Willie Cauley-Stein Personal is questionable Wednesday vs San Antonio
01/21/20 PF Dwight Powell Achilles is out for season

Key San Antonio Spurs Injuries

No key injuries to report

Player Spotlight

Tim Hardaway comes into this game averaging 15.3 points per contest while playing 27.6 minutes per night this year. He grabs 3.1 rebounds per contest and distributes 2.0 assists per game. His FG percentage is 44% while his free throw percentage is 80%. Kristaps Porzingis averages 18.5 points per contest in 30.5 minutes per game. He averages 1.6 assists per game and 9.1 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 42% for the season while his free throw percentage is 78%.

Player Spotlight

DeMar DeRozan scores 22.7 points per contest while playing 34.1 minutes per game. He hauls in 5.6 rebounds per contest and has 5.2 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 53% and his free throw percentage is at 84%. LaMarcus Aldridge averages 18.8 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 33.0 minutes per game. He also brings in 7.5 rebounds per game and has 2.4 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 50% and his free throw percentage is 83%.

Useful Team Statistics

Dallas averages 116.8 points per contest, which is 3rd in the league. Their average scoring margin is 6.2 and their shooting percentage is 46% as a unit, which has them ranked 12th. From 3-point territory they shoot 37%, which is good for 6th in the NBA. They average 47.2 boards per contest and 24.3 assists per game, which ranks them 4th and 14th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 28th with 12.7 per game. The Mavericks allow 110.6 points per contest, which is 15th in the NBA. They also surrender a 45% shooting percentage and a 34% average from 3-point range, ranking them 11th and 6th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 45.1 rebounds a game which ranks 15th, and they allow 23.5 assists per game which puts them in 8th place in the league. They force 11.9 turnovers per game which ranks them 1st in the NBA.

Useful Team Statistics

San Antonio is 11th in the NBA with 113.0 points per contest this season. They are 8th in the league in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin is -1.61. They shoot 37% from beyond the arc, which is good for 7th in the league. They are 16th in the NBA in rebounding with 45.1 boards per contest and 13th in assists per game with 24.5. The Spurs are 30th in turnovers per contest with 12.3. The Spurs give up 114.6 points per game, which ranks them 22nd in the league. Their defense surrenders a 47% shooting percentage and a 37% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 21st and 25th in those defensive statistics. They rank 27th with 25.7 dimes allowed per game and 17th with 45.6 boards surrendered per contest. The Spurs are 4th in the league in forcing turnovers with 12.7 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Mavericks are 1st in the NBA in offensive rating with 117.6, and their defensive rating of 111.4 is ranked 18th. In terms of pace they are 22nd in the league with 98.8 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 55% is 4th. As a team they are 4th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 46% of their shots, ranking 2nd in the league. Dallas is 29th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.2 times per 100 possessions while forcing 10.6 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 52%, which is 21st in the league.

Advanced Statistics

San Antonio is 30th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11 times per 100 possessions while forcing 11.3 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 54%, which is 8th in the NBA. The Spurs are 11th in the league in defensive rating with 113.5, and their offensive rating of 111.9 is ranked 25th. They are 15th in the NBA in pace with 99.9 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 53% is 18th. As a unit they are 14th in the league in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 32% of their shot attempts, ranking 29th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Mavericks/Spurs NBA game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take San Antonio +3.5

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