Dallas Mavericks vs Orlando Magic Predictions, NBA Expert Picks 2/21/2020

Game: Dallas Mavericks vs Orlando Magic

Date: Friday, February 21, 2020

Location: Amway Center in Orlando, FL

TV: Fox Sports Florida

Odds/Point Spread: Dallas -2.5

Total/Over-Under: 216.5

Nikola Vucevic and the Orlando Magic (24-31, 2nd in the Southeast Division) play the Dallas Mavericks (33-22, 2nd in the Southwest Division) at Amway Center on Friday, February 21, 2020. Dallas opens this contest as 2.5 point favorites. The O/U opens at 216.5.

The Mavericks are covering the spread 55.8% of the time, having gone 29-23-3 ATS. Orlando is covering 43.4% of the time, going 23-30-2 against the spread.

Key Dallas Mavericks Injuries

01/21/20 PF Dwight Powell Achilles is out for season

Key Orlando Magic Injuries

02/20/20 PG D.J. Augustin Knee is upgraded to questionable Friday vs Dallas
01/10/20 SF Al-Farouq Aminu Knee is out for season
01/02/20 PF Jonathan Isaac Knee is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Kristaps Porzingis comes into this contest averaging 18.4 points per game while playing 30.5 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 9.1 rebounds per game and dishes out 1.5 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 42% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 78%. Tim Hardaway averages 14.8 points per game in 27.4 minutes per contest this season. He averages 2.0 assists per contest and 3.0 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 43% for the year while his free throw percentage is 81%.

Player Spotlight

Nikola Vucevic averages 19.0 points per game while playing 32.2 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 10.8 rebounds per game and has 3.7 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 46% and his free throw percentage is at 78%. Aaron Gordon averages 14.2 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 32.2 minutes per contest. He also averages 7.3 rebounds per contest and 3.1 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 42% and his free throw percentage is 68%.

Useful Team Statistics

Dallas averages 116.4 points per contest this season, which ranks them 3rd in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 6.0 and their shooting percentage is 46% as a team, which has them ranked 15th. Behind the arc they shoot 37% which is good for 5th in the league. They average 47.0 rebounds per game and 24.3 assists per game, which ranks them 4th and 14th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 29th with 12.5 per game. The Mavericks allow 110.5 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 15th in the league. They also allow a 46% shooting percentage and a 35% average from behind the arc, ranking them 12th and 10th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 45.0 rebounds a game which ranks 13th and they give up 23.6 assists per contest, which puts them in 9th place in the league. They force 12.0 turnovers per game which ranks them 1st in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

Orlando is 29th in the league with 103.9 points per game this year. They are 29th in the league in shooting at 43%, while their average scoring margin is -1.5. They shoot 34% from 3-point range, which is good for 27th in the NBA. They are 19th in the league in rebounding with 44.5 boards per game, and 22nd in assists per contest with 23.2. The Magic are 28th in turnovers per game with 12.7. The Magic surrender 105.4 points per contest, which ranks them 1st in the NBA. Their defense allows a 46% shooting percentage and a 37% average from 3-point range, ranking them 16th and 22nd in those defensive statistics. They rank 12th with 24.0 assists allowed per contest and 19th with 45.9 rebounds surrendered per game. The Magic are 19th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 14.9 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Mavericks are 1st in the league in defensive rating with 111.6, and their offensive rating of 117.6 is ranked 19th. They are 23rd in the NBA in pace with 98.4 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 55% is 4th. As a unit they are 4th in the league in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 46% of their shot attempts, ranking 2nd in the NBA. Dallas is 30th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.1 times per 100 possessions while forcing 10.7 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 52%, which is 20th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Orlando is 27th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.5 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.7 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 53%, which is 15th in the NBA. The Magic are 25th in the league in defensive rating with 107.6, and their offensive rating of 106.1 is ranked 7th. They are 28th in the NBA in pace with 97.8 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 49% is 29th. As a unit they are 29th in the league in true shooting percentage with 53% and they shoot 3-pointers on 36% of their shot attempts, ranking 19th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Mavericks/Magic NBA game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Dallas -2.5

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