Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Predictions, NBA Picks 3/1/2020

Game: Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Date: Sunday, March 1, 2020

Location: Target Center in Minneapolis, MN

TV: Fox Sports North

Odds/Point Spread: Dallas -10

Total/Over-Under: 244.5

Target Center is the site where D'Angelo Russell and the Minnesota Timberwolves (17-41, 5th in the Northwest Division) will take on the Dallas Mavericks (36-24, 2nd in the Southwest Division) on Sunday. Minnesota opens this game as 10 point dogs. The total has been set at 244.5.

The Mavericks cover 56.1% of the time, having gone 32-25-3 ATS. Minnesota is covering 35.7% of the time, going 20-36-2 against the spread.

Key Dallas Mavericks Injuries

02/29/20 PG Luka Doncic Thumb is questionable Sunday vs Minnesota
02/27/20 C Willie Cauley-Stein Personal is out indefinitely
02/24/20 PG Jalen Brunson Shoulder is out indefinitely
01/21/20 PF Dwight Powell Achilles is out for season

Key Minnesota Timberwolves Injuries

02/29/20 SG Allen Crabbe Personal is downgraded to out Sunday vs Dallas
02/14/20 C Karl-Anthony Towns Wrist is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Tim Hardaway comes into this game averaging 15.3 points per contest while playing 27.9 minutes per night this year. He grabs 3.1 rebounds per contest and distributes 2.0 assists per game. His FG percentage is 44% while his free throw percentage is 79%. Kristaps Porzingis averages 18.8 points per contest in 30.7 minutes per game. He averages 1.6 assists per game and 9.3 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 42% for the season while his free throw percentage is 78%.

Player Spotlight

D'Angelo Russell scores 23.8 points per contest while playing 32.3 minutes per game. He hauls in 3.7 rebounds per contest and has 6.5 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 43% and his free throw percentage is at 80%. Malik Beasley averages 10.1 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 20.8 minutes per game. He also brings in 2.5 rebounds per game and has 1.3 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 41% and his free throw percentage is 83%.

Useful Team Statistics

Dallas averages 116.7 points per contest, which is 3rd in the league. Their average scoring margin is 5.9 and their shooting percentage is 46% as a unit, which has them ranked 14th. From 3-point territory they shoot 37%, which is good for 5th in the NBA. They average 47.0 boards per contest and 24.4 assists per game, which ranks them 4th and 14th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 28th with 12.7 per game. The Mavericks allow 110.7 points per contest, which is 16th in the NBA. They also surrender a 45% shooting percentage and a 35% average from 3-point range, ranking them 10th and 6th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 45.2 rebounds a game which ranks 15th, and they allow 23.6 assists per game which puts them in 8th place in the league. They force 12.0 turnovers per game which ranks them 1st in the NBA.

Useful Team Statistics

Minnesota is 9th in the NBA with 113.2 points per contest this season. They are 27th in the league in shooting at 44%, while their average scoring margin is -4.03. They shoot 34% from beyond the arc, which is good for 28th in the league. They are 16th in the NBA in rebounding with 44.9 boards per contest and 18th in assists per game with 23.7. The Timberwolves are 7th in turnovers per contest with 15.3. The Timberwolves give up 117.3 points per game, which ranks them 28th in the league. Their defense surrenders a 47% shooting percentage and a 37% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 22nd and 21st in those defensive statistics. They rank 12th with 23.9 dimes allowed per game and 29th with 47.6 boards surrendered per contest. The Timberwolves are 23rd in the league in forcing turnovers with 15.5 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Mavericks are 1st in the league in defensive rating with 111.4, and their offensive rating of 117.4 is ranked 18th. They are 19th in the NBA in pace with 98.9 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 55% is 5th. As a unit they are 4th in the league in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 46% of their shot attempts, ranking 2nd in the NBA. Dallas is 29th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.2 times per 100 possessions while forcing 10.6 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 52%, which is 21st in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Minnesota is 14th in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.2 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 54%, which is 11th in the league. The Timberwolves are 22nd in the NBA in offensive rating with 108.2, and their defensive rating of 112 is ranked 21st. In terms of pace they are 5th in the league with 103.2 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 51% is 26th. As a team they are 24th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3-pointers on 44% of their shots, ranking 3rd in the league.

Who will win tonight's Mavericks/Timberwolves NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Minnesota +10

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