Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat Predictions, NBA Parlay Picks 2/28/2020

Game: Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat

Date: Friday, February 28, 2020

Location: American Airlines Arena in Miami, FL

TV: Fox Sports Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Miami -1.5

Total/Over-Under: 230

American Airlines Arena is the site where Bam Adebayo and the Miami Heat (36-22, 1st in the Southeast Division) will play the Dallas Mavericks (36-23, 2nd in the Southwest Division) on Friday. The line on this matchup has Miami as 1.5 point favorites. The O/U has been set at 230.

The Mavericks cover the spread 57.1% of the time, having gone 32-24-3 ATS. Miami is covering 53.6% of the time, going 30-26-2 against the spread.

Key Dallas Mavericks Injuries

02/27/20 PG Luka Doncic Thumb injured last game, is questionable Friday vs Miami
02/27/20 C Willie Cauley-Stein Personal is out indefinitely
02/24/20 PG Jalen Brunson Shoulder is out indefinitely
01/21/20 PF Dwight Powell Achilles is out for season

Key Miami Heat Injuries

02/24/20 PF Meyers Leonard Ankle is out indefinitely
02/11/20 SG Tyler Herro Ankle is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Kristaps Porzingis averages 18.7 points per contest in 30.5 minutes per game this year. He averages 1.6 assists per game and 9.2 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 42% for the season while his free throw percentage is 78%. Tim Hardaway comes into this game averaging 15.3 points per contest while playing 27.8 minutes per night. He grabs 3.1 rebounds per contest and distributes 1.9 assists per game. His FG percentage is 44% while his free throw percentage is 79%.

Player Spotlight

Kendrick Nunn averages 15.7 points per game and he sees the court an average of 30.1 minutes per game. He also hauls in 2.7 rebounds per game and dishes 3.6 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 45% and his free throw percentage is 84%. Bam Adebayo scores 16.2 points per contest while playing 34.5 minutes per game. He hauls in 10.5 rebounds per contest and has 5.1 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 58% and his free throw percentage is at 69%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Mavericks allow 110.5 points per contest which is 15th in the NBA. They also surrender a 45% shooting percentage and a 34% average from 3-point range, ranking them 9th and 3rd in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 45.3 rebounds a game which ranks 15th, and they allow 23.5 assists per game which puts them in 8th place in the league. They force 12.0 turnovers per game which ranks them 1st in the NBA. Dallas averages 116.6 points per contest, which is 3rd in the league. Their average scoring margin is 6.2 and their shooting percentage is 46% as a unit, which has them ranked 13th. From 3-point territory they shoot 37%, which is good for 6th in the NBA. They average 47.2 boards per contest and 24.3 assists per game, which ranks them 4th and 14th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 28th with 12.7 per game.

Useful Team Statistics

The Heat give up 109.3 points per game, which ranks them 11th in the league. Their defense surrenders a 45% shooting percentage and a 34% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 8th and 2nd in those defensive statistics. They rank 20th with 24.8 dimes allowed per game and 2nd with 42.2 boards surrendered per contest. The Heat are 7th in the league in forcing turnovers with 13.7 per contest. Miami is 14th in the NBA with 112.5 points per contest this season. They are 6th in the league in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin is 3.2. They shoot 38% from beyond the arc, which is good for 2nd in the league. They are 17th in the NBA in rebounding with 44.8 boards per contest and 8th in assists per game with 25.7. The Heat are 10th in turnovers per contest with 15.1.

Advanced Statistics

The Mavericks are 1st in the NBA in offensive rating with 117.3, and their defensive rating of 111.1 is ranked 17th. In terms of pace they are 19th in the league with 98.9 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 55% is 5th. As a team they are 4th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 46% of their shots, ranking 2nd in the league. Dallas is 28th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.3 times per 100 possessions while forcing 10.7 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 52%, which is 21st in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Miami is 6th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.6 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.3 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 52%, which is 18th in the NBA. The Heat are 8th in the league in defensive rating with 109.3, and their offensive rating of 112.6 is ranked 13th. They are 25th in the NBA in pace with 98.4 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 55% is 4th. As a unit they are 2nd in the league in true shooting percentage with 59% and they shoot 3-pointers on 41% of their shot attempts, ranking 8th in the NBA.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take Miami -1.5 and over 230 total points

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