Dallas Mavericks vs Chicago Bulls Predictions, Free NBA Pick 3/2/2020

Game: Dallas Mavericks vs Chicago Bulls

Date: Monday, March 2, 2020

Location: United Center in Chicago, IL

TV: NBC Sports Chicago

Odds/Point Spread: Dallas -5.5

Total/Over-Under: 228

Kristaps Porzingis and the Dallas Mavericks (36-24, 2nd in the Southwest Division) are headed to United Center on Monday where they'll take on the Chicago Bulls (20-40, 3rd in the Central Division). The spread on this contest has Dallas as 5.5 point favorites. The O/U opens at 228.

The Mavericks are covering the spread 56.1% of the time, having gone 32-25-3 ATS. Chicago is covering 44.1% of the time, going 26-33-1 against the spread.

Key Dallas Mavericks Injuries

02/29/20 PG Luka Doncic Thumb is questionable Sunday vs Minnesota
02/27/20 C Willie Cauley-Stein Personal is out indefinitely
02/24/20 PG Jalen Brunson Shoulder is out indefinitely
01/21/20 PF Dwight Powell Achilles is out for season

Key Chicago Bulls Injuries

11/08/19 SF Otto Porter Jr. Foot is out indefinitely
02/27/20 PF Luke Kornet Ankle is out 6-8 weeks
02/21/20 SF Chandler Hutchison Shoulder is out indefinitely
02/04/20 PG Kris Dunn Knee is out indefinitely
01/24/20 PF Lauri Markkanen Pelvis is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Kristaps Porzingis comes into this game averaging 18.8 points per contest while playing 30.7 minutes per night this year. He grabs 9.3 rebounds per contest and distributes 1.6 assists per game. His FG percentage is 42% while his free throw percentage is 78%. Tim Hardaway averages 15.3 points per contest in 27.9 minutes per game. He averages 2.0 assists per game and 3.1 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 44% for the season while his free throw percentage is 79%.

Player Spotlight

Coby White scores 12.5 points per contest while playing 24.9 minutes per game. He hauls in 3.5 rebounds per contest and has 2.4 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 39% and his free throw percentage is at 78%. Zach Lavine averages 25.5 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 34.8 minutes per game. He also brings in 4.8 rebounds per game and has 4.2 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 45% and his free throw percentage is 80%.

Useful Team Statistics

Dallas averages 116.7 points per contest, which is 3rd in the league. Their average scoring margin is 5.9 and their shooting percentage is 46% as a unit, which has them ranked 13th. From 3-point territory they shoot 37%, which is good for 5th in the NBA. They average 47.0 boards per contest and 24.4 assists per game, which ranks them 4th and 14th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 28th with 12.7 per game. The Mavericks allow 110.7 points per contest, which is 16th in the NBA. They also surrender a 45% shooting percentage and a 35% average from 3-point range, ranking them 9th and 6th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 45.2 rebounds a game which ranks 15th, and they allow 23.6 assists per game which puts them in 8th place in the league. They force 12.0 turnovers per game which ranks them 1st in the NBA.

Useful Team Statistics

Chicago is 25th in the NBA with 106.9 points per contest this season. They are 24th in the league in shooting at 45%, while their average scoring margin is -3.18. They shoot 35% from beyond the arc, which is good for 21st in the league. They are 30th in the NBA in rebounding with 42.0 boards per contest and 23rd in assists per game with 23.2. The Bulls are 4th in turnovers per contest with 15.6. The Bulls give up 110.0 points per game, which ranks them 14th in the league. Their defense surrenders a 48% shooting percentage and a 35% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 27th and 15th in those defensive statistics. They rank 26th with 25.4 dimes allowed per game and 20th with 45.7 boards surrendered per contest. The Bulls are 30th in the league in forcing turnovers with 18.0 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Mavericks are 1st in the league in defensive rating with 111.4, and their offensive rating of 117.4 is ranked 19th. They are 19th in the NBA in pace with 98.9 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 55% is 4th. As a unit they are 4th in the league in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 46% of their shot attempts, ranking 2nd in the NBA. Dallas is 29th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.2 times per 100 possessions while forcing 10.6 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 52%, which is 21st in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Chicago is 4th in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.8 times per 100 possessions while forcing 16 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 55%, which is 4th in the league. The Bulls are 27th in the NBA in offensive rating with 106.7, and their defensive rating of 109.8 is ranked 15th. In terms of pace they are 16th in the league with 99.7 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 52% is 25th. As a team they are 26th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3-pointers on 40% of their shots, ranking 10th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Mavericks/Bulls NBA game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Chicago +5.5

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