Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat Predictions, NBA Picks 3/11/2020

Game: Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat

Date: Wednesday, March 11, 2020

Location: American Airlines Arena in Miami, FL

TV: Fox Sports Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Miami -5

Total/Over-Under: 230

Kendrick Nunn and the Miami Heat (41-23, 1st in the Southeast Division) host the Charlotte Hornets (22-42, 4th in the Southeast Division) at American Airlines Arena on Wednesday, March 11, 2020. Miami opens this contest as 5 point favorites. The total opens at 230.

The Hornets cover the spread 52.4% of the time, having gone 33-30-1 ATS. Miami covers the spread 53.2% of the time, going 33-29-2 against the spread.

Key Charlotte Hornets Injuries

02/26/20 SG Malik Monk Suspension is out indefinitely

Key Miami Heat Injuries

03/09/20 SG Jimmy Butler Toe left last game, is questionable Wednesday vs Charlotte
03/09/20 SF Jae Crowder Concussion is upgraded to probable Wednesday vs Charlotte
02/24/20 PF Meyers Leonard Ankle is out indefinitely
02/11/20 SG Tyler Herro Foot is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Miles Bridges comes into this game averaging 12.9 points per contest while playing 30.6 minutes per night this year. He grabs 5.5 rebounds per contest and distributes 1.8 assists per game. His FG percentage is 43% while his free throw percentage is 81%. Terry Rozier averages 18.0 points per contest in 34.3 minutes per game. He averages 4.1 assists per game and 4.4 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 42% for the season while his free throw percentage is 87%.

Player Spotlight

Kendrick Nunn scores 15.5 points per contest while playing 29.8 minutes per game. He hauls in 2.7 rebounds per contest and has 3.4 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 45% and his free throw percentage is at 84%. Bam Adebayo averages 16.1 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 34.4 minutes per game. He also brings in 10.6 rebounds per game and has 5.0 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 57% and his free throw percentage is 69%.

Useful Team Statistics

Charlotte averages 102.8 points per contest, which is 30th in the league. Their average scoring margin is -7.0 and their shooting percentage is 43% as a unit, which has them ranked 30th. From 3-point territory they shoot 35%, which is good for 22nd in the NBA. They average 42.7 boards per contest and 23.9 assists per game, which ranks them 25th and 18th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 17th with 14.6 per game. The Hornets allow 109.8 points per contest, which is 13th in the NBA. They also surrender a 48% shooting percentage and a 35% average from 3-point range, ranking them 23rd and 13th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 46.1 rebounds a game which ranks 23rd, and they allow 26.6 assists per game which puts them in 30th place in the league. They force 14.4 turnovers per game which ranks them 15th in the NBA.

Useful Team Statistics

Miami is 15th in the NBA with 112.4 points per contest this season. They are 7th in the league in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin is 3.45. They shoot 38% from beyond the arc, which is good for 1st in the league. They are 16th in the NBA in rebounding with 44.7 boards per contest and 8th in assists per game with 25.9. The Heat are 13th in turnovers per contest with 14.9. The Heat give up 108.9 points per game, which ranks them 11th in the league. Their defense surrenders a 45% shooting percentage and a 34% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 7th and 6th in those defensive statistics. They rank 20th with 24.8 dimes allowed per game and 2nd with 42.0 boards surrendered per contest. The Heat are 8th in the league in forcing turnovers with 13.7 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Hornets are 29th in the NBA in offensive rating with 106.1, and their defensive rating of 113.4 is ranked 24th. In terms of pace they are 30th in the league with 95.9 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 50% is 27th. As a team they are 29th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 54% and they shoot 3-pointers on 40% of their shots, ranking 10th in the league. Charlotte is 9th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.3 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.1 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 55%, which is 5th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Miami is 7th in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.5 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.3 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 52%, which is 19th in the league. The Heat are 6th in the NBA in offensive rating with 112.7, and their defensive rating of 109.3 is ranked 11th. In terms of pace they are 27th in the league with 98.2 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 55% is 3rd. As a team they are 1st in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 59% and they shoot 3-pointers on 41% of their shots, ranking 7th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Hornets/Heat NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Miami -5

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