Bucks vs Blazers 1/11/2020 NBA Prediction, Pick, Tips

Game: Milwaukee Bucks vs Portland Trail Blazers

Date: Saturday, January 11, 2020

Location: Moda Center in Portland, OR

TV: NBC Sports Northwest

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee -6

Total/Over-Under: 230

Moda Center is the site where CJ McCollum and the Portland Trail Blazers (16-23, 4th in the Northwest Division) will take on the Milwaukee Bucks (33-6, 1st in the Central Division) on Saturday. The spread on this game has Milwaukee as 6 point favorites. The over/under opens at 230.

The Bucks are covering 53.8% of the time, having gone 21-18-0 ATS. Portland is covering 40.5% of the time, going 15-22-2 against the spread.

Key Milwaukee Bucks Injuries

01/10/20 SF Giannis Antetokounmpo Back is probable Friday vs Sacramento
01/10/20 PG George Hill Illness is upgraded to probable Friday vs Sacramento
01/10/20 PF Ersan Ilyasova Knee is questionable Friday vs Sacramento

Key Portland Trail Blazers Injuries

12/25/19 PF Zach Collins Shoulder is out indefinitely
12/06/19 SG Rodney Hood Achilles is out indefinitely
10/19/19 C Jusuf Nurkic Leg is out indefinitely
01/05/20 PF Skal Labissiere Knee is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Khris Middleton averages 18.8 points per game in 28.5 minutes per contest. He averages 3.9 assists per contest and 5.7 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 47% for the year while his free throw percentage is 91%. Giannis Antetokounmpo comes into this contest averaging 30.2 points per game while playing 31.0 minutes per night. He pulls down 12.8 rebounds per game and dishes out 5.5 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 55% while his free throw percentage is at 62%.

Player Spotlight

Damian Lillard averages 26.8 points per game and he sees the court an average of 36.7 minutes per contest. He also averages 4.2 rebounds per contest and 7.6 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 44% and his free throw percentage is 89%. CJ McCollum averages 21.8 points per game while playing 36.2 minutes per contest. He grabs 4.2 rebounds per game and has 3.7 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 45% and his free throw percentage is at 80%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Bucks allow 107.1 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 10th in the league. They also allow a 41% shooting percentage and a 37% average from behind the arc, ranking them 1st and 25th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 46.2 rebounds a game which ranks 19th, and they give up 24.1 assists per contest which puts them in 15th place in the league. They force 14.6 turnovers per game which ranks them 15th in the league. Milwaukee averages 118.9 points per contest this season, which ranks them 1st in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 11.9 and their shooting percentage is 48% as a team, which has them ranked 2nd. Behind the arc they shoot 36% which is good for 17th in the league. They average 51.4 rebounds per game and 25.9 assists per contest, which ranks them 1st and 6th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 19th with 14.6 per game.

Useful Team Statistics

The Blazers surrender 113.6 points per contest, which ranks them 22nd in the NBA. Their defense allows a 45% shooting percentage and a 36% average from 3-point range, ranking them 10th and 21st in those defensive statistics. They rank 12th with 23.6 assists allowed per contest, and 29th with 48.2 rebounds surrendered per game. The Blazers are 5th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 13.0 per game. Portland is 12th in the league with 111.7 points per game this year. They are 20th in the league in shooting at 45%, while their average scoring margin is -1.9. They shoot 36% from 3-point range, which is good for 13th in the NBA. They are 11th in the league in rebounding with 45.8 boards per game and 30th in assists per contest with 19.6. The Blazers are 27th in turnovers per game with 13.1.

Advanced Statistics

The Bucks are 3rd in the NBA in offensive rating with 113.6, and their defensive rating of 102.3 is ranked 1st. In terms of pace they are 1st in the league with 104.4 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 56% is 1st. As a team they are 1st in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 59% and they shoot 3-pointers on 43% of their shots, ranking 3rd in the league. Milwaukee is 22nd in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.5 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.5 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 49%, which is 30th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Portland is 30th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.5 times per 100 possessions while forcing 11.2 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 51%, which is 19th in the NBA. The Blazers are 12th in the league in defensive rating with 112.2, and their offensive rating of 110.3 is ranked 23rd. They are 11th in the NBA in pace with 101 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 52% is 21st. As a unit they are 19th in the league in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 37% of their shot attempts, ranking 17th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Bucks/Blazers NBA game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Milwaukee -6

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