Brooklyn Nets vs Miami Heat Predictions, Free NBA Picks 2/29/2020

Game: Brooklyn Nets vs Miami Heat

Date: Saturday, February 29, 2020

Location: American Airlines Arena in Miami, FL

TV: Fox Sports Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Miami -7.5

Total/Over-Under: 224.5

American Airlines Arena is the venue where Kendrick Nunn and the Miami Heat (36-22, 1st in the Southeast Division) will play the Brooklyn Nets (26-31, 4th in the Atlantic Division) on Saturday. The line on this matchup has Miami as 7.5 point favorites. The O/U has been set at 224.5.

The Nets cover 47.4% of the time, having gone 27-30-0 ATS. Miami covers the spread 53.6% of the time, going 30-26-2 against the spread.

Key Brooklyn Nets Injuries

10/19/19 SF Kevin Durant Achilles is out indefinitely
02/27/20 SF Wilson Chandler Personal is upgraded to probable Friday vs Atlanta
02/20/20 PG Kyrie Irving Shoulder is out for season

Key Miami Heat Injuries

02/28/20 C Bam Adebayo Ankle is probable Friday vs Dallas
02/24/20 PF Meyers Leonard Ankle is out indefinitely
02/11/20 SG Tyler Herro Ankle is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Joe Harris averages 13.6 points per game in 31.3 minutes per contest. He averages 2.1 assists per contest and 4.3 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 47% for the year while his free throw percentage is 75%. Spencer Dinwiddie comes into this contest averaging 20.8 points per game while playing 31.4 minutes per night. He pulls down 3.5 rebounds per game and dishes out 6.6 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 42% while his free throw percentage is at 77%.

Player Spotlight

Bam Adebayo averages 16.2 points per game and he sees the court an average of 34.5 minutes per contest. He also averages 10.5 rebounds per contest and 5.1 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 58% and his free throw percentage is 69%. Kendrick Nunn averages 15.7 points per game while playing 30.1 minutes per contest. He grabs 2.7 rebounds per game and has 3.6 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 45% and his free throw percentage is at 84%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Nets allow 110.6 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 16th in the league. They also allow a 44% shooting percentage and a 35% average from behind the arc, ranking them 5th and 9th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 46.1 rebounds a game which ranks 22nd, and they give up 22.1 assists per contest which puts them in 2nd place in the league. They force 12.9 turnovers per game which ranks them 6th in the league. Brooklyn averages 110.5 points per contest this season, which ranks them 20th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is -0.2 and their shooting percentage is 44% as a team, which has them ranked 25th. Behind the arc they shoot 34% which is good for 25th in the league. They average 48.5 rebounds per game and 23.9 assists per contest, which ranks them 2nd and 16th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 5th with 15.6 per game.

Useful Team Statistics

The Heat surrender 109.3 points per contest, which ranks them 11th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 45% shooting percentage and a 34% average from 3-point range, ranking them 8th and 2nd in those defensive statistics. They rank 20th with 24.8 assists allowed per contest, and 2nd with 42.2 rebounds surrendered per game. The Heat are 7th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 13.7 per game. Miami is 14th in the league with 112.5 points per game this year. They are 6th in the league in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin is 3.2. They shoot 38% from 3-point range, which is good for 2nd in the NBA. They are 17th in the league in rebounding with 44.8 boards per game and 9th in assists per contest with 25.7. The Heat are 11th in turnovers per game with 15.1.

Advanced Statistics

The Nets are 23rd in the NBA in offensive rating with 107.7, and their defensive rating of 107.9 is ranked 7th. In terms of pace they are 10th in the league with 101.3 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 52% is 23rd. As a team they are 24th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3-pointers on 42% of their shots, ranking 5th in the league. Brooklyn is 8th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.4 times per 100 possessions while forcing 11.2 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 50%, which is 27th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Miami is 6th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.6 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.3 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 52%, which is 18th in the NBA. The Heat are 8th in the league in defensive rating with 109.3, and their offensive rating of 112.6 is ranked 13th. They are 25th in the NBA in pace with 98.4 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 55% is 4th. As a unit they are 2nd in the league in true shooting percentage with 59% and they shoot 3-pointers on 41% of their shot attempts, ranking 8th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Nets/Heat NBA game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Brooklyn +7.5

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