Blazers vs Nuggets Predictions, Picks, Betting Tips 2/4/2020

Game: Portland Trail Blazers vs Denver Nuggets

Date: Tuesday, February 4, 2020

Location: Pepsi Center in Denver, CO

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: Denver -5

Total/Over-Under: 219

Pepsi Center is the venue where Will Barton and the Denver Nuggets (34-16, 1st in the Northwest Division) will play the Portland Trail Blazers (23-27, 4th in the Northwest Division) on Tuesday. The line on this matchup has Denver as 5 point favorites. The O/U opens at 219.

The Blazers cover the spread 41.7% of the time, having gone 20-28-2 ATS. Denver covers the spread 47.8% of the time, going 22-24-4 against the spread.

Key Portland Trail Blazers Injuries

12/25/19 PF Zach Collins Shoulder is out indefinitely
12/06/19 SG Rodney Hood Achilles is out indefinitely
10/19/19 C Jusuf Nurkic Leg is out indefinitely
01/05/20 PF Skal Labissiere Knee is out indefinitely

Key Denver Nuggets Injuries

02/02/20 F Michael Porter Jr. Ankle is questionable Tuesday vs Portland
01/22/20 PF Mason Plumlee Foot is out 2-4 weeks
01/22/20 PF Paul Millsap Knee is out indefinitely
01/16/20 SG Jamal Murray Ankle is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Hassan Whiteside averages 16.0 points per game in 30.8 minutes per contest. He averages 1.2 assists per contest and 14.1 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 61% for the year while his free throw percentage is 73%. Damian Lillard comes into this contest averaging 29.8 points per game while playing 37.1 minutes per night. He pulls down 4.4 rebounds per game and dishes out 7.9 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 46% while his free throw percentage is at 89%.

Player Spotlight

Nikola Jokic averages 20.2 points per game and he sees the court an average of 32.2 minutes per contest. He also averages 10.0 rebounds per contest and 6.7 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 51% and his free throw percentage is 80%. Will Barton averages 15.1 points per game while playing 33.5 minutes per contest. He grabs 6.5 rebounds per game and has 3.8 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 44% and his free throw percentage is at 76%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Blazers allow 114.7 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 25th in the league. They also allow a 45% shooting percentage and a 37% average from behind the arc, ranking them 8th and 25th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 47.8 rebounds a game which ranks 29th, and they give up 23.8 assists per contest which puts them in 13th place in the league. They force 12.6 turnovers per game which ranks them 3rd in the league. Portland averages 113.5 points per contest this season, which ranks them 9th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is -1.2 and their shooting percentage is 46% as a team, which has them ranked 19th. Behind the arc they shoot 37% which is good for 7th in the league. They average 46.0 rebounds per game and 20.0 assists per contest, which ranks them 8th and 30th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 26th with 13.0 per game.

Useful Team Statistics

The Nuggets surrender 106.5 points per contest, which ranks them 5th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 46% shooting percentage and a 34% average from 3-point range, ranking them 15th and 3rd in those defensive statistics. They rank 21st with 24.8 assists allowed per contest, and 6th with 43.4 rebounds surrendered per game. The Nuggets are 15th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 14.6 per game. Denver is 19th in the league with 109.8 points per game this year. They are 15th in the league in shooting at 46%, while their average scoring margin is 3.3. They shoot 35% from 3-point range, which is good for 18th in the NBA. They are 18th in the league in rebounding with 44.9 boards per game and 3rd in assists per contest with 26.3. The Nuggets are 25th in turnovers per game with 13.4.

Advanced Statistics

The Blazers are 11th in the NBA in offensive rating with 112, and their defensive rating of 113.2 is ranked 26th. In terms of pace they are 11th in the league with 100.9 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 53% is 18th. As a team they are 18th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 37% of their shots, ranking 15th in the league. Portland is 29th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.4 times per 100 possessions while forcing 10.9 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 52%, which is 18th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Denver is 25th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.9 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.2 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 52%, which is 17th in the NBA. The Nuggets are 12th in the league in defensive rating with 108.3, and their offensive rating of 111.7 is ranked 11th. They are 29th in the NBA in pace with 97.3 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 52% is 21st. As a unit they are 21st in the league in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3-pointers on 34% of their shot attempts, ranking 27th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Blazers/Nuggets NBA game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Portland +5

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