Blazers vs Mavericks 1/17/2020 NBA Prediction, Pick, Tips

Game: Portland Trail Blazers vs Dallas Mavericks

Date: Friday, January 17, 2020

Location: American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Dallas -5.5

Total/Over-Under: 224

CJ McCollum and the Portland Trail Blazers (18-24, 4th in the Northwest Division) travel to American Airlines Center on Friday where they'll meet the Dallas Mavericks (26-15, 2nd in the Southwest Division). The line on this matchup has Dallas as 5.5 point favorites. The over/under has been set at 224.

The Blazers are covering the spread 40.0% of the time, having gone 16-24-2 ATS. Dallas is covering 53.8% of the time, going 21-18-2 against the spread.

Key Portland Trail Blazers Injuries

12/25/19 PF Zach Collins Shoulder is out indefinitely
12/06/19 SG Rodney Hood Achilles is out indefinitely
10/19/19 C Jusuf Nurkic Leg is out indefinitely
01/05/20 PF Skal Labissiere Knee is out indefinitely

Key Dallas Mavericks Injuries

01/15/20 PF Kristaps Porzingis Knee is questionable Friday vs Portland

Player Spotlight

Damian Lillard averages 26.8 points per game in 36.7 minutes per contest. He averages 7.6 assists per contest and 4.2 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 44% for the year while his free throw percentage is 89%. CJ McCollum comes into this contest averaging 21.9 points per game while playing 36.2 minutes per night. He pulls down 4.1 rebounds per game and dishes out 3.8 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 45% while his free throw percentage is at 79%.

Player Spotlight

Tim Hardaway averages 14.0 points per game and he sees the court an average of 25.9 minutes per contest. He also averages 2.9 rebounds per contest and 1.7 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 43% and his free throw percentage is 78%. Luka Doncic averages 28.8 points per game while playing 32.8 minutes per contest. He grabs 9.8 rebounds per game and has 9.0 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 47% and his free throw percentage is at 79%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Blazers allow 113.6 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 21st in the league. They also allow a 44% shooting percentage and a 36% average from behind the arc, ranking them 9th and 21st in those defensive categories. Opponents average 48.3 rebounds a game which ranks 29th, and they give up 23.6 assists per contest which puts them in 12th place in the league. They force 12.8 turnovers per game which ranks them 5th in the league. Portland averages 111.7 points per contest this season, which ranks them 11th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is -2.0 and their shooting percentage is 45% as a team, which has them ranked 22nd. Behind the arc they shoot 36% which is good for 12th in the league. They average 46.2 rebounds per game and 19.7 assists per contest, which ranks them 9th and 30th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 27th with 13.0 per game.

Useful Team Statistics

The Mavericks surrender 109.3 points per contest, which ranks them 13th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 45% shooting percentage and a 34% average from 3-point range, ranking them 11th and 5th in those defensive statistics. They rank 11th with 23.4 assists allowed per contest, and 14th with 45.1 rebounds surrendered per game. The Mavericks are 1st in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 12.3 per game. Dallas is 3rd in the league with 116.6 points per game this year. They are 11th in the league in shooting at 46%, while their average scoring margin is 7.3. They shoot 36% from 3-point range, which is good for 9th in the NBA. They are 4th in the league in rebounding with 47.7 boards per game and 14th in assists per contest with 24.3. The Mavericks are 30th in turnovers per game with 12.9.

Advanced Statistics

The Blazers are 13th in the NBA in offensive rating with 110.2, and their defensive rating of 112.2 is ranked 23rd. In terms of pace they are 11th in the league with 101.1 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 52% is 21st. As a team they are 20th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3-pointers on 37% of their shots, ranking 17th in the league. Portland is 30th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.4 times per 100 possessions while forcing 11 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 51%, which is 21st in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Dallas is 29th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.4 times per 100 possessions while forcing 10.9 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 51%, which is 23rd in the NBA. The Mavericks are 1st in the league in defensive rating with 110, and their offensive rating of 117.3 is ranked 17th. They are 23rd in the NBA in pace with 98.6 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 55% is 5th. As a unit they are 4th in the league in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 46% of their shot attempts, ranking 2nd in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Blazers/Mavericks NBA game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Portland +5.5

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