Suns vs Mavericks predictions 1/28/20 NBA Picks & Betting Tips

Game: Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks

Date: Tuesday, January 28, 2020

Location: American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX

TV: Fox Sports Southwest - Dallas

Odds/Point Spread: Dallas -8

Total/Over-Under: 230.5

Luka Doncic and the Dallas Mavericks (28-17, 1st in the Southwest Division) play the Phoenix Suns (19-27, 3rd in the Pacific Division) at American Airlines Center on Tuesday, January 28, 2020. Phoenix opens this matchup as 8 point underdogs. The total is set at 230.5.

The Suns cover 51.1% of the time, having gone 23-22-1 ATS. Dallas is covering 54.8% of the time, going 23-19-3 against the spread.

Key Phoenix Suns Injuries

01/26/20 C Aron Baynes Hip is questionable Tuesday vs Dallas
01/26/20 PF Cameron Johnson Quad is questionable Tuesday vs Dallas
01/04/20 PF Frank Kaminsky Knee is out indefinitely

Key Dallas Mavericks Injuries

01/27/20 C Willie Cauley-Stein Acquired is upgraded to probable Monday vs Oklahoma City
01/27/20 PG Luka Doncic Ankle is probable Monday vs Oklahoma City
01/21/20 PF Dwight Powell Achilles is out for season

Player Spotlight

Devin Booker comes into this contest averaging 27.0 points per game while playing 36.1 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 4.0 rebounds per game and dishes out 6.3 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 51% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 92%. Ricky Rubio averages 13.0 points per game in 32.3 minutes per contest this season. He averages 8.8 assists per contest and 4.6 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 41% for the year while his free throw percentage is 81%.

Player Spotlight

Luka Doncic averages 29.0 points per game while playing 33.0 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 9.5 rebounds per game and has 8.9 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 47% and his free throw percentage is at 77%. Tim Hardaway averages 14.2 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 26.3 minutes per contest. He also averages 3.0 rebounds per contest and 1.7 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 43% and his free throw percentage is 78%.

Useful Team Statistics

Phoenix averages 112.7 points per contest this season, which ranks them 11th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is -1.0 and their shooting percentage is 46% as a team, which has them ranked 16th. Behind the arc they shoot 34% which is good for 24th in the league. They average 43.8 rebounds per game and 27.1 assists per game, which ranks them 22nd and 2nd in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 18th with 14.7 per game. The Suns allow 113.7 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 20th in the league. They also allow a 47% shooting percentage and a 37% average from behind the arc, ranking them 25th and 26th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 44.3 rebounds a game which ranks 11th and they give up 23.8 assists per contest, which puts them in 13th place in the league. They force 16.0 turnovers per game which ranks them 28th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

Dallas is 3rd in the league with 116.6 points per game this year. They are 12th in the league in shooting at 46%, while their average scoring margin is 6.8. They shoot 37% from 3-point range, which is good for 8th in the NBA. They are 4th in the league in rebounding with 47.4 boards per game, and 15th in assists per contest with 24.1. The Mavericks are 30th in turnovers per game with 12.7. The Mavericks surrender 109.8 points per contest, which ranks them 14th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 45% shooting percentage and a 34% average from 3-point range, ranking them 11th and 5th in those defensive statistics. They rank 8th with 23.2 assists allowed per contest and 14th with 45.4 rebounds surrendered per game. The Mavericks are 1st in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 12.3 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Suns are 18th in the league in defensive rating with 110.7, and their offensive rating of 109.7 is ranked 18th. They are 9th in the NBA in pace with 102.1 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 52% is 18th. As a unit they are 15th in the league in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 36% of their shot attempts, ranking 17th in the NBA. Phoenix is 19th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.8 times per 100 possessions while forcing 14 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 54%, which is 6th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Dallas is 30th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.2 times per 100 possessions while forcing 10.9 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 51%, which is 22nd in the NBA. The Mavericks are 1st in the league in defensive rating with 110.6, and their offensive rating of 117.4 is ranked 17th. They are 23rd in the NBA in pace with 98.6 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 55% is 4th. As a unit they are 4th in the league in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 46% of their shot attempts, ranking 2nd in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Suns/Mavericks NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Dallas -8

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