San Antonio Spurs vs. Milwaukee Bucks - 1/4/20 NBA Picks, Odds, and Prediction
Game: San Antonio Spurs vs Milwaukee Bucks
Date: Saturday, January 4, 2020
Location: Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, WI
TV: Fox Sports Wisconsin
Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee -11.5
Total/Over-Under: 227.5
Fiserv Forum is the site where Khris Middleton and the Milwaukee Bucks (31-5, 1st in the Central Division) will take on the San Antonio Spurs (14-19, 3rd in the Southwest Division) on Saturday. The line on this game has Milwaukee as 11.5 point favorites. The over/under is set at 227.5.
The Spurs are covering the spread 34.4% of the time, having gone 11-21-1 ATS. Milwaukee is covering the spread 58.3% of the time, going 21-15-0 against the spread.
Key San Antonio Spurs Injuries
No key injuries to report
Key Milwaukee Bucks Injuries
01/02/20 SG Wesley Matthews Thigh is questionable Saturday vs San Antonio
Player Spotlight
DeMar DeRozan comes into this game averaging 21.5 points per contest while playing 33.9 minutes per night this year. He grabs 5.3 rebounds per contest and distributes 4.9 assists per game. His FG percentage is 52% while his free throw percentage is 81%. LaMarcus Aldridge averages 19.5 points per contest in 33.0 minutes per game. He averages 2.4 assists per game and 7.8 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 51% for the season while his free throw percentage is 84%.
Player Spotlight
Khris Middleton scores 18.8 points per contest while playing 28.2 minutes per game. He hauls in 5.7 rebounds per contest and has 3.8 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 48% and his free throw percentage is at 90%. Giannis Antetokounmpo averages 30.4 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 31.0 minutes per game. He also brings in 13.0 rebounds per game and has 5.6 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 56% and his free throw percentage is 60%.
Useful Team Statistics
San Antonio averages 113.1 points per contest, which is 7th in the league. Their average scoring margin is -1.7 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a unit, which has them ranked 3rd. From 3-point territory they shoot 37%, which is good for 6th in the NBA. They average 46.5 boards per contest and 24.7 assists per game, which ranks them 8th and 12th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 27th with 13.4 per game. The Spurs allow 114.8 points per contest, which is 25th in the NBA. They also surrender a 46% shooting percentage and a 36% average from 3-point range, ranking them 20th and 21st in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 46.0 rebounds a game which ranks 18th, and they allow 25.2 assists per game which puts them in 24th place in the league. They force 12.8 turnovers per game which ranks them 2nd in the NBA.
Useful Team Statistics
Milwaukee is 1st in the NBA with 119.4 points per contest this season. They are 1st in the league in shooting at 48%, while their average scoring margin is 12.94. They shoot 36% from beyond the arc, which is good for 13th in the league. They are 1st in the NBA in rebounding with 51.9 boards per contest and 6th in assists per game with 26.1. The Bucks are 16th in turnovers per contest with 15.0. The Bucks give up 106.5 points per game, which ranks them 9th in the league. Their defense surrenders a 41% shooting percentage and a 37% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 1st and 23rd in those defensive statistics. They rank 16th with 24.1 dimes allowed per game and 16th with 45.7 boards surrendered per contest. The Bucks are 15th in the league in forcing turnovers with 14.8 per contest this year.
Advanced Statistics
The Spurs are 11th in the NBA in offensive rating with 110.3, and their defensive rating of 111.9 is ranked 20th. In terms of pace they are 13th in the league with 100.6 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 53% is 12th. As a team they are 15th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 30% of their shots, ranking 30th in the league. San Antonio is 28th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.7 times per 100 possessions while forcing 11.2 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 53%, which is 12th in the league.
Advanced Statistics
Milwaukee is 16th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.9 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.6 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 49%, which is 30th in the NBA. The Bucks are 3rd in the league in defensive rating with 101.4, and their offensive rating of 113.7 is ranked 1st. They are 1st in the NBA in pace with 104.7 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 56% is 1st. As a unit they are 1st in the league in true shooting percentage with 59% and they shoot 3-pointers on 43% of their shot attempts, ranking 3rd in the NBA.
Who will win tonight's Spurs/Bucks NBA game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take San Antonio +11.5
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Additional Resources:
Milwaukee Bucks - Twitter
San Antonio Spurs - Twitter