Portland Blazers vs. Miami Heat - 1/5/20 NBA Picks, Odds, and Prediction

Game: Portland Trail Blazers vs Miami Heat

Date: Sunday, January 5, 2020

Location: American Airlines Arena in Miami, FL

TV: Fox Sports Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Miami -5.5

Total/Over-Under: 223

Bam Adebayo and the Miami Heat (25-10, 1st in the Southeast Division) play the Portland Trail Blazers (15-21, 4th in the Northwest Division) at American Airlines Arena on Sunday, January 5, 2020. Portland opens this contest as 5.5 point dogs. The O/U has been set at 223.

The Blazers cover the spread 41.2% of the time, having gone 14-20-2 ATS. Miami is covering the spread 60.6% of the time, going 20-13-2 against the spread.

Key Portland Trail Blazers Injuries

12/25/19 PF Zach Collins Shoulder is out indefinitely
12/06/19 SG Rodney Hood Achilles is out indefinitely
10/19/19 C Jusuf Nurkic Leg is out indefinitely
01/03/20 PF Skal Labissiere Knee is out indefinitely

Key Miami Heat Injuries

01/03/20 SF Justise Winslow Back is questionable Sunday vs Portland

Player Spotlight

CJ McCollum comes into this game averaging 22.3 points per contest while playing 36.5 minutes per night this year. He grabs 4.3 rebounds per contest and distributes 3.8 assists per game. His FG percentage is 46% while his free throw percentage is 81%. Damian Lillard averages 26.9 points per contest in 36.7 minutes per game. He averages 7.4 assists per game and 4.3 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 44% for the season while his free throw percentage is 89%.

Player Spotlight

Bam Adebayo scores 15.5 points per contest while playing 34.4 minutes per game. He hauls in 10.7 rebounds per contest and has 4.4 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 57% and his free throw percentage is at 69%. Jimmy Butler averages 20.4 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 35.4 minutes per game. He also brings in 6.9 rebounds per game and has 6.6 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 43% and his free throw percentage is 82%.

Useful Team Statistics

Portland averages 112.3 points per contest, which is 9th in the league. Their average scoring margin is -1.4 and their shooting percentage is 45% as a unit, which has them ranked 18th. From 3-point territory they shoot 36%, which is good for 10th in the NBA. They average 46.1 boards per contest and 19.6 assists per game, which ranks them 10th and 30th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 27th with 13.3 per game. The Blazers allow 113.8 points per contest, which is 22nd in the NBA. They also surrender a 44% shooting percentage and a 36% average from 3-point range, ranking them 11th and 19th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 47.7 rebounds a game which ranks 29th, and they allow 23.4 assists per game which puts them in 10th place in the league. They force 13.0 turnovers per game which ranks them 5th in the NBA.

Useful Team Statistics

Miami is 14th in the NBA with 110.8 points per contest this season. They are 7th in the league in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin is 3.63. They shoot 38% from beyond the arc, which is good for 2nd in the league. They are 13th in the NBA in rebounding with 45.8 boards per contest and 11th in assists per game with 24.8. The Heat are 2nd in turnovers per contest with 16.6. The Heat give up 107.2 points per game, which ranks them 12th in the league. Their defense surrenders a 44% shooting percentage and a 33% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 8th and 2nd in those defensive statistics. They rank 16th with 24.1 dimes allowed per game and 2nd with 41.7 boards surrendered per contest. The Heat are 12th in the league in forcing turnovers with 14.5 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Blazers are 9th in the league in defensive rating with 111.9, and their offensive rating of 110.5 is ranked 21st. They are 11th in the NBA in pace with 101.3 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 52% is 21st. As a unit they are 18th in the league in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 36% of their shot attempts, ranking 19th in the NBA. Portland is 28th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.6 times per 100 possessions while forcing 11.2 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 51%, which is 21st in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Miami is 1st in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 14.8 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.9 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 51%, which is 20th in the league. The Heat are 11th in the NBA in offensive rating with 110.3, and their defensive rating of 106.7 is ranked 12th. In terms of pace they are 24th in the league with 98.7 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 54% is 5th. As a team they are 3rd in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 39% of their shots, ranking 11th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Blazers/Heat NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Miami -5.5

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