Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Cleveland Cavaliers - 1/4/20 NBA Picks, Odds, and Prediction

Game: Oklahoma City Thunder vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Date: Saturday, January 4, 2020

Location: Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse in Cleveland, OH

TV: Fox Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Oklahoma City -4.5

Total/Over-Under: 214

Collin Sexton and the Cleveland Cavaliers (10-24, 5th in the Central Division) host the Oklahoma City Thunder (19-15, 3rd in the Northwest Division) at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse on Saturday, January 4, 2020. The line on this game has Oklahoma City as 4.5 point favorites. The total is set at 214.

The Thunder cover 64.7% of the time, having gone 22-12-0 ATS. Cleveland is covering the spread 42.4% of the time, going 14-19-1 against the spread.

Key Oklahoma City Thunder Injuries

01/02/20 SG Andre Roberson Knee is out indefinitely

Key Cleveland Cavaliers Injuries

No key injuries to report

Player Spotlight

Chris Paul comes into this contest averaging 16.6 points per game while playing 31.8 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 5.0 rebounds per game and dishes out 6.5 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 47% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 91%. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander averages 19.9 points per game in 35.4 minutes per contest this season. He averages 2.9 assists per contest and 5.2 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 46% for the year while his free throw percentage is 81%.

Player Spotlight

Collin Sexton averages 18.1 points per game while playing 30.8 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 3.1 rebounds per game and has 2.3 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 45% and his free throw percentage is at 82%. Tristan Thompson averages 12.6 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 31.3 minutes per contest. He also averages 10.2 rebounds per contest and 2.2 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 50% and his free throw percentage is 60%.

Useful Team Statistics

Oklahoma City averages 108.3 points per contest this season, which ranks them 21st in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 1.1 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a team, which has them ranked 7th. Behind the arc they shoot 34% which is good for 25th in the league. They average 42.9 rebounds per game and 21.4 assists per game, which ranks them 25th and 28th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 22nd with 14.0 per game. The Thunder allow 107.1 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 11th in the league. They also allow a 45% shooting percentage and a 34% average from behind the arc, ranking them 14th and 7th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 45.0 rebounds a game which ranks 11th and they give up 22.7 assists per contest, which puts them in 5th place in the league. They force 14.4 turnovers per game which ranks them 10th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

Cleveland is 27th in the league with 104.4 points per game this year. They are 22nd in the league in shooting at 45%, while their average scoring margin is -8.8. They shoot 34% from 3-point range, which is good for 24th in the NBA. They are 20th in the league in rebounding with 44.3 boards per game, and 27th in assists per contest with 21.4. The Cavaliers are 3rd in turnovers per game with 16.3. The Cavaliers surrender 113.2 points per contest, which ranks them 21st in the NBA. Their defense allows a 49% shooting percentage and a 38% average from 3-point range, ranking them 29th and 27th in those defensive statistics. They rank 27th with 25.7 assists allowed per contest and 6th with 43.3 rebounds surrendered per game. The Cavaliers are 4th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 12.9 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Thunder are 16th in the NBA in offensive rating with 109.3, and their defensive rating of 108.1 is ranked 14th. In terms of pace they are 26th in the league with 98.2 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 53% is 15th. As a team they are 8th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 35% of their shots, ranking 25th in the league. Oklahoma City is 19th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.8 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.8 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 51%, which is 18th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Cleveland is 4th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 14.5 times per 100 possessions while forcing 11.7 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 56%, which is 2nd in the NBA. The Cavaliers are 26th in the league in defensive rating with 114.1, and their offensive rating of 105.2 is ranked 29th. They are 22nd in the NBA in pace with 98.9 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 51% is 23rd. As a unit they are 23rd in the league in true shooting percentage with 54% and they shoot 3-pointers on 37% of their shot attempts, ranking 18th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Thunder/Cavaliers NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Oklahoma City -4.5

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