Nuggets vs Grizzlies predictions 1/28/20 NBA Picks & Betting Tips

Game: Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies

Date: Tuesday, January 28, 2020

Location: FedExForum in Memphis, TN

TV: Fox Sports Southeast - Memphis

Odds/Point Spread: Memphis -1

Total/Over-Under: 224.5

Nikola Jokic and the Denver Nuggets (32-14, 2nd in the Northwest Division) are headed to FedExForum on Tuesday where they'll take on the Memphis Grizzlies (22-24, 3rd in the Southwest Division). The odds on this contest have Memphis as 1 point favorites. The over/under is set at 224.5.

The Nuggets are covering the spread 47.6% of the time, having gone 20-22-4 ATS. Memphis is covering 53.3% of the time, going 24-21-1 against the spread.

Key Denver Nuggets Injuries

01/22/20 PF Paul Millsap Knee is out indefinitely
01/22/20 PF Mason Plumlee Foot is out 2-4 weeks
01/16/20 SG Jamal Murray Ankle is out indefinitely

Key Memphis Grizzlies Injuries

11/19/19 SF Andre Iguodala None is out indefinitely
01/27/20 SG Grayson Allen Hip is out indefinitely
01/26/20 SF Jae Crowder Knee is questionable Tuesday vs Denver

Player Spotlight

Nikola Jokic comes into this game averaging 19.7 points per contest while playing 31.8 minutes per night this year. He grabs 10.1 rebounds per contest and distributes 6.5 assists per game. His FG percentage is 51% while his free throw percentage is 79%. Will Barton averages 14.8 points per contest in 33.4 minutes per game. He averages 3.7 assists per game and 6.5 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 44% for the season while his free throw percentage is 76%.

Player Spotlight

Ja Morant scores 17.6 points per contest while playing 30.0 minutes per game. He hauls in 3.4 rebounds per contest and has 7.1 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 49% and his free throw percentage is at 80%. Jaren Jackson averages 18.0 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 28.2 minutes per game. He also brings in 4.8 rebounds per game and has 1.4 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 48% and his free throw percentage is 75%.

Useful Team Statistics

Denver averages 109.5 points per contest, which is 19th in the league. Their average scoring margin is 3.5 and their shooting percentage is 46% as a unit, which has them ranked 15th. From 3-point territory they shoot 35%, which is good for 22nd in the NBA. They average 44.8 boards per contest and 26.2 assists per game, which ranks them 19th and 3rd in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 25th with 13.4 per game. The Nuggets allow 106.0 points per contest, which is 6th in the NBA. They also surrender a 45% shooting percentage and a 34% average from 3-point range, ranking them 14th and 2nd in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 43.6 rebounds a game which ranks 7th, and they allow 24.4 assists per game which puts them in 18th place in the league. They force 14.6 turnovers per game which ranks them 15th in the NBA.

Useful Team Statistics

Memphis is 8th in the NBA with 113.5 points per contest this season. They are 6th in the league in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin is -2.37. They shoot 36% from beyond the arc, which is good for 11th in the league. They are 14th in the NBA in rebounding with 45.6 boards per contest and 1st in assists per game with 27.8. The Grizzlies are 6th in turnovers per contest with 15.6. The Grizzlies give up 115.8 points per game, which ranks them 27th in the league. Their defense surrenders a 46% shooting percentage and a 37% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 17th and 25th in those defensive statistics. They rank 22nd with 24.9 dimes allowed per game and 12th with 44.5 boards surrendered per contest. The Grizzlies are 16th in the league in forcing turnovers with 14.7 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Nuggets are 10th in the NBA in offensive rating with 111.6, and their defensive rating of 108.1 is ranked 11th. In terms of pace they are 29th in the league with 97.3 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 52% is 21st. As a team they are 20th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3-pointers on 33% of their shots, ranking 28th in the league. Denver is 25th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.9 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.2 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 52%, which is 17th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Memphis is 9th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.5 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.6 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 53%, which is 13th in the NBA. The Grizzlies are 19th in the league in defensive rating with 111.9, and their offensive rating of 109.6 is ranked 21st. They are 4th in the NBA in pace with 103.2 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 54% is 7th. As a unit they are 11th in the league in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 36% of their shot attempts, ranking 21st in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Nuggets/Grizzlies NBA game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Memphis -1

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