Miami Heat vs. Orlando Magic - 1/3/20 NBA Picks, Odds, and Prediction

Game: Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic

Date: Friday, January 3, 2020

Location: Amway Center in Orlando, FL

TV: Fox Sports Florida

Odds/Point Spread: Miami -1.5

Total/Over-Under: 220

Bam Adebayo and the Miami Heat (24-9, 1st in the Southeast Division) head to Amway Center on Friday where they'll take on the Orlando Magic (15-19, 2nd in the Southeast Division). Miami opens this matchup as 1.5 point favorites. The over/under is set at 220.

The Heat are covering the spread 61.3% of the time, having gone 19-12-2 ATS. Orlando is covering 43.8% of the time, going 14-18-2 against the spread.

Key Miami Heat Injuries

12/31/19 SF Justise Winslow Back is questionable Thursday vs Toronto

Key Orlando Magic Injuries

12/30/19 PF Aaron Gordon Achilles is questionable Wednesday vs Washington
12/01/19 SF Al-Farouq Aminu Knee is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Bam Adebayo comes into this game averaging 15.6 points per contest while playing 34.4 minutes per night this year. He grabs 10.6 rebounds per contest and distributes 4.6 assists per game. His FG percentage is 56% while his free throw percentage is 69%. Jimmy Butler averages 20.8 points per contest in 35.4 minutes per game. He averages 6.6 assists per game and 6.6 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 43% for the season while his free throw percentage is 83%.

Player Spotlight

Evan Fournier scores 19.4 points per contest while playing 31.1 minutes per game. He hauls in 2.7 rebounds per contest and has 3.1 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 48% and his free throw percentage is at 80%. Markelle Fultz averages 11.3 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 26.2 minutes per game. He also brings in 3.0 rebounds per game and has 4.4 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 46% and his free throw percentage is 73%.

Useful Team Statistics

Miami averages 112.4 points per contest, which is 9th in the league. Their average scoring margin is 4.2 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a unit, which has them ranked 5th. From 3-point territory they shoot 39%, which is good for 2nd in the NBA. They average 45.6 boards per contest and 25.1 assists per game, which ranks them 15th and 9th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 2nd with 16.5 per game. The Heat allow 108.2 points per contest, which is 12th in the NBA. They also surrender a 45% shooting percentage and a 33% average from 3-point range, ranking them 10th and 3rd in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 41.5 rebounds a game which ranks 2nd, and they allow 24.2 assists per game which puts them in 19th place in the league. They force 14.7 turnovers per game which ranks them 12th in the NBA.

Useful Team Statistics

Orlando is 30th in the NBA with 103.4 points per contest this season. They are 27th in the league in shooting at 43%, while their average scoring margin is -1.21. They shoot 34% from beyond the arc, which is good for 27th in the league. They are 19th in the NBA in rebounding with 44.4 boards per contest and 22nd in assists per game with 22.8. The Magic are 30th in turnovers per contest with 12.8. The Magic give up 104.6 points per game, which ranks them 3rd in the league. Their defense surrenders a 46% shooting percentage and a 36% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 15th and 22nd in those defensive statistics. They rank 10th with 23.5 dimes allowed per game and 21st with 46.3 boards surrendered per contest. The Magic are 19th in the league in forcing turnovers with 15.2 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Heat are 8th in the league in defensive rating with 107.3, and their offensive rating of 111.5 is ranked 13th. They are 22nd in the NBA in pace with 99 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 55% is 2nd. As a unit they are 2nd in the league in true shooting percentage with 59% and they shoot 3-pointers on 39% of their shot attempts, ranking 11th in the NBA. Miami is 2nd in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 14.7 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 52%, which is 17th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Orlando is 29th in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.5 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.9 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 52%, which is 14th in the league. The Magic are 25th in the NBA in offensive rating with 105.4, and their defensive rating of 106.7 is ranked 11th. In terms of pace they are 27th in the league with 98.1 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 49% is 29th. As a team they are 29th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 53% and they shoot 3-pointers on 35% of their shots, ranking 25th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Heat/Magic NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Orlando +1.5

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