Mavericks vs Thunder predictions 1/27/20 NBA Picks & Betting Tips

Game: Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Date: Monday, January 27, 2020

Location: Chesapeake Energy Arena in Oklahoma City, OK

TV: Fox Sports Oklahoma

Odds/Point Spread: Oklahoma City -1.5

Total/Over-Under: 226

Chris Paul and the Oklahoma City Thunder (28-19, 3rd in the Northwest Division) play the Dallas Mavericks (28-17, 2nd in the Southwest Division) at Chesapeake Energy Arena on Monday, January 27, 2020. Dallas opens this game as 1.5 point underdogs. The O/U is set at 226.

The Mavericks cover the spread 54.8% of the time, having gone 23-19-3 ATS. Oklahoma City is covering 68.1% of the time, going 32-15-0 against the spread.

Key Dallas Mavericks Injuries

01/25/20 C Willie Cauley-Stein Acquired is questionable Monday vs Oklahoma City
01/21/20 PF Dwight Powell Achilles is out for season

Key Oklahoma City Thunder Injuries

01/25/20 SG Terrance Ferguson Personal is questionable Monday vs Dallas
01/25/20 SF Danilo Gallinari Thumb is questionable Monday vs Dallas
01/25/20 SF Abdel Nader Ankle is questionable Monday vs Dallas
01/25/20 C Nerlens Noel Facial is questionable Monday vs Dallas

Player Spotlight

Tim Hardaway comes into this contest averaging 14.2 points per game while playing 26.3 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 3.0 rebounds per game and dishes out 1.7 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 43% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 78%. Luka Doncic averages 29.0 points per game in 33.0 minutes per contest this season. He averages 8.9 assists per contest and 9.5 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 47% for the year while his free throw percentage is 77%.

Player Spotlight

Chris Paul averages 17.2 points per game while playing 31.7 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 5.0 rebounds per game and has 6.4 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 48% and his free throw percentage is at 90%. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander averages 19.7 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 35.6 minutes per contest. He also averages 6.0 rebounds per contest and 3.1 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 47% and his free throw percentage is 82%.

Useful Team Statistics

Dallas averages 116.6 points per contest this season, which ranks them 3rd in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 6.8 and their shooting percentage is 46% as a team, which has them ranked 12th. Behind the arc they shoot 37% which is good for 8th in the league. They average 47.4 rebounds per game and 24.1 assists per game, which ranks them 4th and 15th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 30th with 12.7 per game. The Mavericks allow 109.8 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 14th in the league. They also allow a 45% shooting percentage and a 34% average from behind the arc, ranking them 11th and 4th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 45.4 rebounds a game which ranks 14th and they give up 23.2 assists per contest, which puts them in 8th place in the league. They force 12.3 turnovers per game which ranks them 1st in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

Oklahoma City is 17th in the league with 110.6 points per game this year. They are 6th in the league in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin is 2.5. They shoot 35% from 3-point range, which is good for 18th in the NBA. They are 23rd in the league in rebounding with 43.3 boards per game, and 26th in assists per contest with 21.9. The Thunder are 23rd in turnovers per game with 13.9. The Thunder surrender 108.1 points per contest, which ranks them 11th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 46% shooting percentage and a 34% average from 3-point range, ranking them 16th and 9th in those defensive statistics. They rank 4th with 22.9 assists allowed per contest and 10th with 44.2 rebounds surrendered per game. The Thunder are 9th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 14.0 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Mavericks are 1st in the NBA in offensive rating with 117.4, and their defensive rating of 110.6 is ranked 17th. In terms of pace they are 23rd in the league with 98.6 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 55% is 4th. As a team they are 4th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 46% of their shots, ranking 2nd in the league. Dallas is 30th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.2 times per 100 possessions while forcing 10.9 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 51%, which is 21st in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Oklahoma City is 21st in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.6 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.5 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 52%, which is 18th in the NBA. The Thunder are 12th in the league in defensive rating with 108.5, and their offensive rating of 111 is ranked 13th. They are 22nd in the NBA in pace with 98.7 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 53% is 9th. As a unit they are 7th in the league in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 35% of their shot attempts, ranking 24th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Mavericks/Thunder NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Dallas +1.5

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