Magic vs Heat predictions 1/27/20 NBA Picks & Betting Tips

Game: Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat

Date: Monday, January 27, 2020

Location: American Airlines Arena in Miami, FL

TV: Fox Sports Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Miami -6.5

Total/Over-Under: 224

Jimmy Butler and the Miami Heat (31-14, 1st in the Southeast Division) host the Orlando Magic (21-25, 2nd in the Southeast Division) at American Airlines Arena on Monday, January 27, 2020. The spread on this matchup has Miami as 6.5 point favorites. The total has been set at 224.

The Magic cover the spread 47.7% of the time, having gone 21-23-2 ATS. Miami covers the spread 58.1% of the time, going 25-18-2 against the spread.

Key Orlando Magic Injuries

01/17/20 PG D.J. Augustin Knee is out 3-4 weeks
01/10/20 SF Al-Farouq Aminu Knee is out for season
01/02/20 PF Jonathan Isaac Knee is out indefinitely

Key Miami Heat Injuries

01/25/20 SG Jimmy Butler Ankle injured last game, is questionable Monday vs Orlando
01/25/20 PG Goran Dragic Calf is questionable Monday vs Orlando
01/25/20 PG Kendrick Nunn Achilles is questionable Monday vs Orlando
01/13/20 SF Justise Winslow Back is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Aaron Gordon comes into this game averaging 13.4 points per contest while playing 31.6 minutes per night this year. He grabs 7.1 rebounds per contest and distributes 2.9 assists per game. His FG percentage is 42% while his free throw percentage is 68%. Nikola Vucevic averages 19.0 points per contest in 31.7 minutes per game. He averages 3.4 assists per game and 11.1 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 45% for the season while his free throw percentage is 81%.

Player Spotlight

Jimmy Butler scores 20.3 points per contest while playing 34.9 minutes per game. He hauls in 7.0 rebounds per contest and has 6.5 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 44% and his free throw percentage is at 83%. Kendrick Nunn averages 16.2 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 30.6 minutes per game. He also brings in 2.8 rebounds per game and has 3.5 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 46% and his free throw percentage is 83%.

Useful Team Statistics

Orlando averages 103.8 points per contest, which is 29th in the league. Their average scoring margin is -0.5 and their shooting percentage is 43% as a unit, which has them ranked 28th. From 3-point territory they shoot 34%, which is good for 27th in the NBA. They average 45.1 boards per contest and 22.5 assists per game, which ranks them 18th and 24th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 27th with 12.9 per game. The Magic allow 104.4 points per contest, which is 1st in the NBA. They also surrender a 45% shooting percentage and a 36% average from 3-point range, ranking them 13th and 17th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 46.1 rebounds a game which ranks 18th, and they allow 23.5 assists per game which puts them in 11th place in the league. They force 15.0 turnovers per game which ranks them 19th in the NBA.

Useful Team Statistics

Miami is 13th in the NBA with 112.2 points per contest this season. They are 5th in the league in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin is 3.51. They shoot 38% from beyond the arc, which is good for 2nd in the league. They are 17th in the NBA in rebounding with 45.4 boards per contest and 11th in assists per game with 25.2. The Heat are 5th in turnovers per contest with 15.6. The Heat give up 108.7 points per game, which ranks them 12th in the league. Their defense surrenders a 45% shooting percentage and a 33% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 9th and 1st in those defensive statistics. They rank 21st with 24.7 dimes allowed per game and 2nd with 41.9 boards surrendered per contest. The Heat are 7th in the league in forcing turnovers with 13.5 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Magic are 26th in the league in defensive rating with 106.4, and their offensive rating of 105.8 is ranked 6th. They are 27th in the NBA in pace with 98.1 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 49% is 28th. As a unit they are 29th in the league in true shooting percentage with 53% and they shoot 3-pointers on 35% of their shot attempts, ranking 23rd in the NBA. Orlando is 27th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.6 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.7 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 52%, which is 16th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Miami is 3rd in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 14 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.1 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 52%, which is 20th in the league. The Heat are 8th in the NBA in offensive rating with 112.1, and their defensive rating of 108.6 is ranked 14th. In terms of pace they are 26th in the league with 98.3 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 55% is 3rd. As a team they are 2nd in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 59% and they shoot 3-pointers on 40% of their shots, ranking 9th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Magic/Heat NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Miami -6.5

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