Golden State Warriors vs. Sacramento Kings - 1/6/20 NBA Picks, Odds, and Prediction

Game: Golden State Warriors vs Sacramento Kings

Date: Monday, January 6, 2020

Location: Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, CA

TV: NBA TV

Odds/Point Spread: Sacramento -3.5

Total/Over-Under: 218

Buddy Hield and the Sacramento Kings (13-23, 4th in the Pacific Division) play the Golden State Warriors (9-28, 5th in the Pacific Division) at Golden 1 Center on Monday, January 6, 2020. Sacramento opens this matchup as 3.5 point favorites. The total opens at 218.

The Warriors cover the spread 46.0% of the time, having gone 17-20-0 ATS. Sacramento is covering 50.0% of the time, going 18-18-0 against the spread.

Key Golden State Warriors Injuries

10/30/19 PG Stephen Curry Hand is out indefinitely
10/19/19 SG Klay Thompson Knee is out indefinitely
01/04/20 C Willie Cauley-Stein Illness is upgraded to probable Saturday vs Detroit
01/03/20 PG D'Angelo Russell Shoulder is downgraded to out Saturday vs Detroit
01/02/20 C Kevon Looney Abdominal is out indefinitely

Key Sacramento Kings Injuries

01/04/20 SG Bogdan Bogdanovic Lower Body is questionable Monday vs Golden State
01/04/20 F Marvin Bagley III Foot is questionable Monday vs Golden State

Player Spotlight

Eric Paschall comes into this game averaging 14.1 points per contest while playing 27.6 minutes per night this year. He grabs 4.5 rebounds per contest and distributes 1.8 assists per game. His FG percentage is 49% while his free throw percentage is 78%. Alec Burks averages 16.0 points per contest in 29.2 minutes per game. He averages 3.0 assists per game and 4.4 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 43% for the season while his free throw percentage is 88%.

Player Spotlight

Buddy Hield scores 20.5 points per contest while playing 34.4 minutes per game. He hauls in 5.3 rebounds per contest and has 3.1 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 41% and his free throw percentage is at 83%. Harrison Barnes averages 15.6 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 35.2 minutes per game. He also brings in 5.0 rebounds per game and has 2.2 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 45% and his free throw percentage is 79%.

Useful Team Statistics

Golden State averages 105.3 points per contest, which is 26th in the league. Their average scoring margin is -7.7 and their shooting percentage is 43% as a unit, which has them ranked 28th. From 3-point territory they shoot 34%, which is good for 26th in the NBA. They average 43.8 boards per contest and 24.2 assists per game, which ranks them 21st and 15th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 19th with 14.6 per game. The Warriors allow 113.0 points per contest, which is 20th in the NBA. They also surrender a 47% shooting percentage and a 39% average from 3-point range, ranking them 24th and 30th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 46.4 rebounds a game which ranks 22nd, and they allow 25.1 assists per game which puts them in 25th place in the league. They force 16.2 turnovers per game which ranks them 27th in the NBA.

Useful Team Statistics

Sacramento is 24th in the NBA with 105.9 points per contest this season. They are 19th in the league in shooting at 45%, while their average scoring margin is -3.11. They shoot 35% from beyond the arc, which is good for 19th in the league. They are 28th in the NBA in rebounding with 42.4 boards per contest and 23rd in assists per game with 22.5. The Kings are 11th in turnovers per contest with 15.3. The Kings give up 109.0 points per game, which ranks them 13th in the league. Their defense surrenders a 47% shooting percentage and a 35% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 23rd and 15th in those defensive statistics. They rank 19th with 24.4 dimes allowed per game and 5th with 43.1 boards surrendered per contest. The Kings are 18th in the league in forcing turnovers with 15.1 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Warriors are 29th in the NBA in offensive rating with 104.5, and their defensive rating of 112.2 is ranked 24th. In terms of pace they are 16th in the league with 99.8 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 49% is 30th. As a team they are 28th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 53% and they shoot 3-pointers on 32% of their shots, ranking 28th in the league. Golden State is 17th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.9 times per 100 possessions while forcing 14.2 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 55%, which is 4th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Sacramento is 6th in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.8 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.7 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 54%, which is 9th in the league. The Kings are 21st in the NBA in offensive rating with 107.7, and their defensive rating of 110.8 is ranked 18th. In terms of pace they are 30th in the league with 97.2 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 52% is 19th. As a team they are 21st in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3-pointers on 39% of their shots, ranking 12th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Warriors/Kings NBA game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Golden State +3.5

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