Detroit Pistons vs. Golden State Warriors - 1/4/20 NBA Picks, Odds, and Prediction
Game: Detroit Pistons vs Golden State Warriors
Date: Saturday, January 4, 2020
Location: Chase Center in San Francisco, CA
TV: NBC Sports Bay Area
Odds/Point Spread: Detroit -3.5
Total/Over-Under: 218
D'Angelo Russell and the Golden State Warriors (9-27, 5th in the Pacific Division) host the Detroit Pistons (12-23, 4th in the Central Division) at Chase Center on Saturday, January 4, 2020. Detroit opens this matchup as 3.5 point favorites. The total opens at 218.
The Pistons cover the spread 35.3% of the time, having gone 12-22-1 ATS. Golden State covers the spread 47.2% of the time, going 17-19-0 against the spread.
Key Detroit Pistons Injuries
12/26/19 SG Luke Kennard Knee is out indefinitely
10/29/19 PG Reggie Jackson Back is out indefinitely
01/03/20 PF Blake Griffin Knee is downgraded to doubtful Saturday vs Golden State
01/02/20 PF Markieff Morris Foot is questionable Saturday vs Golden State
Key Golden State Warriors Injuries
10/30/19 PG Stephen Curry Hand is out indefinitely
10/19/19 SG Klay Thompson Knee is out indefinitely
01/02/20 C Willie Cauley-Stein Illness is questionable Saturday vs Detroit
01/02/20 C Kevon Looney Abdominal is out indefinitely
01/02/20 PG D'Angelo Russell Illness is questionable Saturday vs Detroit
Player Spotlight
Andre Drummond averages 17.6 points per game in 33.6 minutes per contest. He averages 2.7 assists per contest and 15.8 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 54% for the year while his free throw percentage is 61%. Derrick Rose comes into this contest averaging 16.7 points per game while playing 24.5 minutes per night. He pulls down 2.1 rebounds per game and dishes out 5.9 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 48% while his free throw percentage is at 85%.
Player Spotlight
Alec Burks averages 15.6 points per game and he sees the court an average of 29.2 minutes per contest. He also averages 4.4 rebounds per contest and 3.0 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 43% and his free throw percentage is 87%. D'Angelo Russell averages 23.2 points per game while playing 31.4 minutes per contest. He grabs 3.4 rebounds per game and has 6.0 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 43% and his free throw percentage is at 77%.
Useful Team Statistics
The Pistons allow 111.4 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 18th in the league. They also allow a 48% shooting percentage and a 37% average from behind the arc, ranking them 25th and 24th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 43.0 rebounds a game which ranks 4th, and they give up 25.0 assists per contest which puts them in 23rd place in the league. They force 14.1 turnovers per game which ranks them 8th in the league. Detroit averages 108.4 points per contest this season, which ranks them 20th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is -3.0 and their shooting percentage is 46% as a team, which has them ranked 8th. Behind the arc they shoot 37% which is good for 3rd in the league. They average 42.3 rebounds per game and 24.5 assists per contest, which ranks them 28th and 13th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 6th with 15.9 per game.
Useful Team Statistics
The Warriors surrender 113.0 points per contest, which ranks them 20th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 47% shooting percentage and a 38% average from 3-point range, ranking them 24th and 30th in those defensive statistics. They rank 25th with 25.2 assists allowed per contest, and 23rd with 46.4 rebounds surrendered per game. The Warriors are 25th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 16.0 per game. Golden State is 26th in the league with 105.3 points per game this year. They are 26th in the league in shooting at 43%, while their average scoring margin is -7.7. They shoot 33% from 3-point range, which is good for 27th in the NBA. They are 22nd in the league in rebounding with 43.8 boards per game and 15th in assists per contest with 24.1. The Warriors are 19th in turnovers per game with 14.6.
Advanced Statistics
The Pistons are 15th in the NBA in offensive rating with 109.3, and their defensive rating of 112.3 is ranked 25th. In terms of pace they are 20th in the league with 99.2 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 54% is 7th. As a team they are 10th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 38% of their shots, ranking 16th in the league. Detroit is 5th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 14.2 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.6 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 54%, which is 7th in the league.
Advanced Statistics
Golden State is 18th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.9 times per 100 possessions while forcing 14.1 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 55%, which is 4th in the NBA. The Warriors are 29th in the league in defensive rating with 112.2, and their offensive rating of 104.5 is ranked 24th. They are 16th in the NBA in pace with 99.9 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 49% is 30th. As a unit they are 28th in the league in true shooting percentage with 53% and they shoot 3-pointers on 33% of their shot attempts, ranking 28th in the NBA.
Who will win tonight's Pistons/Warriors NBA game against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take Golden State +3.5
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Additional Resources:
Golden State Warriors - Twitter
Detroit Pistons - Twitter