Denver Nuggets vs. Washington Wizards - 1/4/20 NBA Picks, Odds, and Prediction

Game: Denver Nuggets vs Washington Wizards

Date: Saturday, January 4, 2020

Location: Capital One Arena in Washington, D.C.

TV: NBC Sports Washington

Odds/Point Spread: Denver -10

Total/Over-Under: 224

Bradley Beal and the Washington Wizards (10-23, 4th in the Southeast Division) host the Denver Nuggets (24-10, 1st in the Northwest Division) at Capital One Arena on Saturday, January 4, 2020. The odds on this matchup have Denver as 10 point favorites. The over/under has been set at 224.

The Nuggets cover the spread 43.3% of the time, having gone 13-17-4 ATS. Washington is covering 50.0% of the time, going 16-16-1 against the spread.

Key Denver Nuggets Injuries

No key injuries to report

Key Washington Wizards Injuries

12/27/19 C Thomas Bryant Foot is out indefinitely
12/23/19 PF Davis Bertans Quad is out indefinitely
12/22/19 C Moritz Wagner Ankle is out indefinitely
12/17/19 PF Rui Hachimura Groin is out indefinitely
10/18/19 PG John Wall Achilles is out indefinitely
01/02/20 SG Bradley Beal Leg is questionable Friday vs Portland

Player Spotlight

Jamal Murray comes into this game averaging 17.3 points per contest while playing 32.1 minutes per night this year. He grabs 4.2 rebounds per contest and distributes 4.7 assists per game. His FG percentage is 43% while his free throw percentage is 91%. Nikola Jokic averages 18.2 points per contest in 31.0 minutes per game. He averages 6.5 assists per game and 9.8 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 50% for the season while his free throw percentage is 83%.

Player Spotlight

Bradley Beal scores 27.8 points per contest while playing 36.5 minutes per game. He hauls in 4.8 rebounds per contest and has 6.6 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 44% and his free throw percentage is at 83%. Ish Smith averages 10.2 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 25.5 minutes per game. He also brings in 2.9 rebounds per game and has 4.2 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 45% and his free throw percentage is 66%.

Useful Team Statistics

Denver averages 108.6 points per contest, which is 19th in the league. Their average scoring margin is 4.4 and their shooting percentage is 46% as a unit, which has them ranked 14th. From 3-point territory they shoot 35%, which is good for 18th in the NBA. They average 45.1 boards per contest and 26.5 assists per game, which ranks them 17th and 3rd in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 24th with 13.8 per game. The Nuggets allow 104.3 points per contest, which is 2nd in the NBA. They also surrender a 45% shooting percentage and a 32% average from 3-point range, ranking them 12th and 1st in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 43.6 rebounds a game which ranks 7th, and they allow 24.1 assists per game which puts them in 18th place in the league. They force 14.6 turnovers per game which ranks them 13th in the NBA.

Useful Team Statistics

Washington is 4th in the NBA with 116.2 points per contest this season. They are 13th in the league in shooting at 46%, while their average scoring margin is -4.88. They shoot 37% from beyond the arc, which is good for 9th in the league. They are 30th in the NBA in rebounding with 42.0 boards per contest and 5th in assists per game with 26.4. The Wizards are 23rd in turnovers per contest with 13.8. The Wizards give up 121.0 points per game, which ranks them 30th in the league. Their defense surrenders a 49% shooting percentage and a 38% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 30th and 29th in those defensive statistics. They rank 29th with 26.4 dimes allowed per game and 24th with 46.8 boards surrendered per contest. The Wizards are 23rd in the league in forcing turnovers with 15.9 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Nuggets are 9th in the league in defensive rating with 106.3, and their offensive rating of 110.7 is ranked 9th. They are 29th in the NBA in pace with 97.2 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 52% is 19th. As a unit they are 21st in the league in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3-pointers on 34% of their shot attempts, ranking 27th in the NBA. Denver is 23rd in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.3 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.3 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 51%, which is 21st in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Washington is 26th in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.8 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.7 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 56%, which is 1st in the league. The Wizards are 6th in the NBA in offensive rating with 112, and their defensive rating of 116.7 is ranked 30th. In terms of pace they are 2nd in the league with 103.4 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 53% is 11th. As a team they are 14th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 37% of their shots, ranking 17th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Nuggets/Wizards NBA game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Washington +10

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