Charlotte Hornets vs. Dallas Mavericks - 1/4/20 NBA Picks, Odds, and Prediction

Game: Charlotte Hornets vs Dallas Mavericks

Date: Saturday, January 4, 2020

Location: American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX

TV: Fox Sports Southwest - Dallas

Odds/Point Spread: Dallas -12.5

Total/Over-Under: 215.5

Tim Hardaway and the Dallas Mavericks (22-12, 2nd in the Southwest Division) host the Charlotte Hornets (14-23, 3rd in the Southeast Division) at American Airlines Center on Saturday, January 4, 2020. Dallas opens this matchup as 12.5 point favorites. The total opens at 215.5.

The Hornets are covering the spread 48.6% of the time, having gone 18-19-0 ATS. Dallas is covering 55.9% of the time, going 19-15-0 against the spread.

Key Charlotte Hornets Injuries

No key injuries to report

Key Dallas Mavericks Injuries

01/03/20 PF Kristaps Porzingis Knee is downgraded to doubtful Saturday vs Charlotte
01/02/20 SG Tim Hardaway Jr. Hamstring is questionable Saturday vs Charlotte
01/01/20 G Ryan Broekhoff Leg is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Terry Rozier comes into this contest averaging 17.5 points per game while playing 33.6 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 4.4 rebounds per game and dishes out 4.3 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 42% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 84%. Devonte' Graham averages 18.8 points per game in 35.0 minutes per contest this season. He averages 7.8 assists per contest and 3.8 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 38% for the year while his free throw percentage is 81%.

Player Spotlight

Tim Hardaway averages 13.7 points per game while playing 25.5 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 2.6 rebounds per game and has 1.7 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 42% and his free throw percentage is at 81%. Luka Doncic averages 29.1 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 32.4 minutes per contest. He also averages 9.6 rebounds per contest and 8.9 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 47% and his free throw percentage is 81%.

Useful Team Statistics

Charlotte averages 103.9 points per contest this season, which ranks them 28th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is -6.7 and their shooting percentage is 44% as a team, which has them ranked 25th. Behind the arc they shoot 35% which is good for 17th in the league. They average 42.6 rebounds per game and 23.8 assists per game, which ranks them 26th and 17th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 18th with 14.9 per game. The Hornets allow 110.6 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 16th in the league. They also allow a 48% shooting percentage and a 36% average from behind the arc, ranking them 26th and 16th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 46.3 rebounds a game which ranks 21st and they give up 26.9 assists per contest, which puts them in 30th place in the league. They force 15.1 turnovers per game which ranks them 16th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

Dallas is 3rd in the league with 116.5 points per game this year. They are 16th in the league in shooting at 46%, while their average scoring margin is 7.7. They shoot 37% from 3-point range, which is good for 8th in the NBA. They are 4th in the league in rebounding with 48.0 boards per game, and 14th in assists per contest with 24.4. The Mavericks are 28th in turnovers per game with 13.1. The Mavericks surrender 108.9 points per contest, which ranks them 15th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 44% shooting percentage and a 34% average from 3-point range, ranking them 10th and 6th in those defensive statistics. They rank 7th with 23.1 assists allowed per contest and 15th with 45.4 rebounds surrendered per game. The Mavericks are 1st in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 12.7 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Hornets are 24th in the league in defensive rating with 113, and their offensive rating of 106.1 is ranked 27th. They are 28th in the NBA in pace with 97.4 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 51% is 24th. As a unit they are 24th in the league in true shooting percentage with 54% and they shoot 3-pointers on 41% of their shot attempts, ranking 8th in the NBA. Charlotte is 12th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.4 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.6 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 55%, which is 3rd in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Dallas is 30th in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.5 times per 100 possessions while forcing 11.2 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 51%, which is 22nd in the league. The Mavericks are 1st in the NBA in offensive rating with 116.5, and their defensive rating of 108.8 is ranked 15th. In terms of pace they are 19th in the league with 99.4 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 54% is 3rd. As a team they are 4th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 46% of their shots, ranking 2nd in the league.

Who will win tonight's Hornets/Mavericks NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Dallas -12.5

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