Celtics vs Heat predictions 1/28/20 NBA Picks & Betting Tips

Game: Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

Date: Tuesday, January 28, 2020

Location: American Airlines Arena in Miami, FL

TV: Fox Sports Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Miami -2

Total/Over-Under: 222

Jayson Tatum and the Boston Celtics (30-15, 2nd in the Atlantic Division) go to American Airlines Arena on Tuesday where they'll take on the Miami Heat (31-14, 1st in the Southeast Division). Boston opens this contest as 2 point dogs. The O/U has been set at 222.

The Celtics are covering the spread 60.5% of the time, having gone 26-17-2 ATS. Miami is covering 58.1% of the time, going 25-18-2 against the spread.

Key Boston Celtics Injuries

01/26/20 C Enes Kanter Foot is questionable Tuesday vs Miami
01/26/20 SF Jayson Tatum Groin is questionable Tuesday vs Miami

Key Miami Heat Injuries

01/27/20 C Bam Adebayo Ankle is probable Monday vs Orlando
01/25/20 SG Jimmy Butler Ankle injured last game, is questionable Monday vs Orlando
01/25/20 PG Goran Dragic Calf is questionable Monday vs Orlando
01/25/20 PG Kendrick Nunn Achilles is questionable Monday vs Orlando
01/13/20 SF Justise Winslow Back is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Kemba Walker averages 22.4 points per game in 32.0 minutes per contest. He averages 5.0 assists per contest and 4.0 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 45% for the year while his free throw percentage is 88%. Jayson Tatum comes into this contest averaging 21.5 points per game while playing 34.0 minutes per night. He pulls down 6.9 rebounds per game and dishes out 2.9 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 44% while his free throw percentage is at 84%.

Player Spotlight

Jimmy Butler averages 20.3 points per game and he sees the court an average of 34.9 minutes per contest. He also averages 7.0 rebounds per contest and 6.5 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 44% and his free throw percentage is 83%. Kendrick Nunn averages 16.2 points per game while playing 30.6 minutes per contest. He grabs 2.8 rebounds per game and has 3.5 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 46% and his free throw percentage is at 83%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Celtics allow 105.6 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 3rd in the league. They also allow a 45% shooting percentage and a 35% average from behind the arc, ranking them 7th and 13th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 44.3 rebounds a game which ranks 10th, and they give up 23.2 assists per contest which puts them in 7th place in the league. They force 15.6 turnovers per game which ranks them 25th in the league. Boston averages 112.3 points per contest this season, which ranks them 12th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 6.7 and their shooting percentage is 46% as a team, which has them ranked 14th. Behind the arc they shoot 36% which is good for 15th in the league. They average 45.4 rebounds per game and 23.5 assists per contest, which ranks them 16th and 18th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 24th with 13.7 per game.

Useful Team Statistics

The Heat surrender 108.7 points per contest, which ranks them 12th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 45% shooting percentage and a 33% average from 3-point range, ranking them 8th and 1st in those defensive statistics. They rank 21st with 24.7 assists allowed per contest, and 2nd with 41.9 rebounds surrendered per game. The Heat are 7th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 13.5 per game. Miami is 13th in the league with 112.2 points per game this year. They are 5th in the league in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin is 3.5. They shoot 38% from 3-point range, which is good for 2nd in the NBA. They are 17th in the league in rebounding with 45.4 boards per game and 11th in assists per contest with 25.2. The Heat are 5th in turnovers per game with 15.6.

Advanced Statistics

The Celtics are 6th in the NBA in offensive rating with 112.5, and their defensive rating of 105.8 is ranked 5th. In terms of pace they are 17th in the league with 99.6 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 53% is 14th. As a team they are 13th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 38% of their shots, ranking 14th in the league. Boston is 23rd in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.1 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.9 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 51%, which is 21st in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Miami is 3rd in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 14 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.1 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 52%, which is 20th in the league. The Heat are 8th in the NBA in offensive rating with 112.1, and their defensive rating of 108.6 is ranked 14th. In terms of pace they are 26th in the league with 98.3 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 55% is 3rd. As a team they are 2nd in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 59% and they shoot 3-pointers on 40% of their shots, ranking 9th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Celtics/Heat NBA game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Boston +2

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