76ers vs Mavericks 1/11/2020 NBA Prediction, Pick, Tips

Game: Philadelphia 76ers vs Dallas Mavericks

Date: Saturday, January 11, 2020

Location: American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX

TV: Fox Sports Southwest - Dallas

Odds/Point Spread: Dallas -4

Total/Over-Under: 223

Luka Doncic and the Dallas Mavericks (23-14, 2nd in the Southwest Division) host the Philadelphia 76ers (25-14, 3rd in the Atlantic Division) at American Airlines Center on Saturday, January 11, 2020. Dallas opens this game as 4 point favorites. The O/U has been set at 223.

The 76ers cover the spread 45.7% of the time, having gone 16-19-4 ATS. Dallas is covering 52.8% of the time, going 19-17-1 against the spread.

Key Philadelphia 76ers Injuries

01/09/20 PF Joel Embiid Finger is out indefinitely

Key Dallas Mavericks Injuries

01/09/20 PG J.J. Barea Illness is questionable Friday vs LA Lakers
01/09/20 PF Kristaps Porzingis Knee is downgraded to out Friday vs LA Lakers & Saturday vs Philadelphia

Player Spotlight

Tobias Harris comes into this contest averaging 19.4 points per game while playing 34.0 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 6.5 rebounds per game and dishes out 3.0 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 48% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 81%. Ben Simmons averages 15.1 points per game in 35.5 minutes per contest this season. He averages 8.4 assists per contest and 7.5 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 56% for the year while his free throw percentage is 58%.

Player Spotlight

Luka Doncic averages 29.6 points per game while playing 32.9 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 9.7 rebounds per game and has 9.0 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 47% and his free throw percentage is at 80%. Tim Hardaway averages 13.8 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 25.6 minutes per contest. He also averages 2.5 rebounds per contest and 1.7 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 42% and his free throw percentage is 79%.

Useful Team Statistics

Philadelphia averages 109.8 points per contest this season, which ranks them 16th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 4.0 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a team, which has them ranked 4th. Behind the arc they shoot 36% which is good for 9th in the league. They average 46.1 rebounds per game and 26.6 assists per game, which ranks them 10th and 3rd in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 14th with 15.1 per game. The 76ers allow 105.7 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 6th in the league. They also allow a 46% shooting percentage and a 36% average from behind the arc, ranking them 16th and 17th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 40.6 rebounds a game which ranks 1st and they give up 21.7 assists per contest, which puts them in 3rd place in the league. They force 14.3 turnovers per game which ranks them 10th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

Dallas is 3rd in the league with 116.4 points per game this year. They are 11th in the league in shooting at 46%, while their average scoring margin is 7.2. They shoot 37% from 3-point range, which is good for 8th in the NBA. They are 4th in the league in rebounding with 47.4 boards per game, and 13th in assists per contest with 24.6. The Mavericks are 28th in turnovers per game with 13.1. The Mavericks surrender 109.2 points per contest, which ranks them 14th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 45% shooting percentage and a 34% average from 3-point range, ranking them 11th and 7th in those defensive statistics. They rank 10th with 23.4 assists allowed per contest and 15th with 45.4 rebounds surrendered per game. The Mavericks are 3rd in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 12.7 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The 76ers are 14th in the league in defensive rating with 105.9, and their offensive rating of 109.9 is ranked 6th. They are 17th in the NBA in pace with 99.4 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 53% is 8th. As a unit they are 12th in the league in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 34% of their shot attempts, ranking 25th in the NBA. Philadelphia is 9th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.5 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.9 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 51%, which is 18th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Dallas is 29th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.5 times per 100 possessions while forcing 11.3 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 51%, which is 22nd in the NBA. The Mavericks are 1st in the league in defensive rating with 109.6, and their offensive rating of 116.8 is ranked 17th. They are 22nd in the NBA in pace with 98.8 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 55% is 2nd. As a unit they are 3rd in the league in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 46% of their shot attempts, ranking 2nd in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's 76ers/Mavericks NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Philadelphia +4

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