Washington Wizards vs. Miami Heat - 12/6/19 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game: Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat

Date: Friday, December 6, 2019

Location: American Airlines Arena in Miami, FL

TV: Fox Sports Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Miami -6.5

Total/Over-Under: 218

American Airlines Arena is the site where Jimmy Butler and the Miami Heat (15-6, 1st in the Southeast Division) will play the Washington Wizards (6-13, 4th in the Southeast Division) on Friday. Miami opens this matchup as 6.5 point favorites. The over/under has been set at 218.

The Wizards cover 55.6% of the time, having gone 10-8-1 ATS. Miami covers the spread 70.0% of the time, going 14-6-1 against the spread.

Key Washington Wizards Injuries

12/5/2019 Garrison Mathews SG Leg Game Time Decision
12/4/2019 Thomas Bryant C Foot Expected to be out until at least Jan 5
12/4/2019 C.J SF Wrist Expected to be out until at least Jan 15
12/3/2019 Ian Mahinmi C Achilles Game Time Decision
12/3/2019 Moe Wagner SF Ankle Game Time Decision
7/23/2019 John Wall PG Achilles Expected to be out until at least May 1

Key Miami Heat Injuries

12/4/2019 KZ Okpala SF Achilles Game Time Decision
12/4/2019 Goran Dragic PG Groin Game Time Decision

Player Spotlight

Bradley Beal comes into this contest averaging 28.7 points per game while playing 36.8 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 4.4 rebounds per game and dishes out 7.2 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 47% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 82%. Davis Bertans averages 13.6 points per game in 28.3 minutes per contest this season. He averages 1.7 assists per contest and 4.5 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 46% for the year while his free throw percentage is 88%.

Player Spotlight

Jimmy Butler averages 20.1 points per game while playing 34.1 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 6.0 rebounds per game and has 6.5 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 44% and his free throw percentage is at 86%. Bam Adebayo averages 13.9 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 32.6 minutes per contest. He also averages 10.3 rebounds per contest and 4.0 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 56% and his free throw percentage is 66%.

Useful Team Statistics

Washington averages 118.9 points per contest this season, which ranks them 3rd in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is -4.0 and their shooting percentage is 48% as a team, which has them ranked 3rd. Behind the arc they shoot 37% which is good for 6th in the league. They average 41.8 rebounds per game and 28.4 assists per game, which ranks them 28th and 1st in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 21st with 14.6 per game. The Wizards allow 122.9 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 30th in the league. They also allow a 49% shooting percentage and a 38% average from behind the arc, ranking them 30th and 28th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 46.6 rebounds a game which ranks 24th and they give up 26.3 assists per contest, which puts them in 29th place in the league. They force 15.9 turnovers per game which ranks them 22nd in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

Miami is 14th in the league with 111.0 points per game this year. They are 5th in the league in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin is 5.3. They shoot 39% from 3-point range, which is good for 3rd in the NBA. They are 18th in the league in rebounding with 44.9 boards per game, and 10th in assists per contest with 25.0. The Heat are 1st in turnovers per game with 18.2. The Heat surrender 105.7 points per contest, which ranks them 8th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 44% shooting percentage and a 32% average from 3-point range, ranking them 7th and 2nd in those defensive statistics. They rank 13th with 23.5 assists allowed per contest and 2nd with 41.0 rebounds surrendered per game. The Heat are 24th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 16.2 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Wizards are 4th in the NBA in offensive rating with 113, and their defensive rating of 116.8 is ranked 30th. In terms of pace they are 2nd in the league with 105.2 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 55% is 4th. As a team they are 7th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 37% of their shots, ranking 16th in the league. Washington is 23rd in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.4 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.5 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 56%, which is 1st in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Miami is 1st in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 16.2 times per 100 possessions while forcing 14.3 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 50%, which is 24th in the league. The Heat are 14th in the NBA in offensive rating with 109.6, and their defensive rating of 104.4 is ranked 7th. In terms of pace they are 18th in the league with 100.2 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 55% is 2nd. As a team they are 2nd in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 59% and they shoot 3-pointers on 40% of their shots, ranking 12th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Wizards/Heat NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Washington +6.5

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