Utah Jazz vs. Miami Heat - 12/23/19 NBA Picks, Odds, and Prediction

Game: Utah Jazz vs Miami Heat

Date: Monday, December 23, 2019

Location: American Airlines Arena in Miami, FL

TV: Fox Sports Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Miami -5

Total/Over-Under: 210

Bam Adebayo and the Miami Heat (21-8, 1st in the Southeast Division) play the Utah Jazz (18-11, 2nd in the Northwest Division) at American Airlines Arena on Monday, December 23, 2019. Utah opens this contest as 5 point dogs. The over/under has been set at 210.

The Jazz cover the spread 41.4% of the time, having gone 12-17-0 ATS. Miami is covering 67.9% of the time, going 19-9-1 against the spread.

Key Utah Jazz Injuries

12/18/2019 Mike Conley PG Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Dec 30

Key Miami Heat Injuries

12/19/2019 Justise Winslow SF Back Expected to be out until at least Dec 23

Player Spotlight

Donovan Mitchell comes into this game averaging 25.2 points per contest while playing 34.8 minutes per night this year. He grabs 4.7 rebounds per contest and distributes 3.9 assists per game. His FG percentage is 45% while his free throw percentage is 85%. Bojan Bogdanovic averages 21.2 points per contest in 33.7 minutes per game. He averages 2.1 assists per game and 4.5 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 45% for the season while his free throw percentage is 89%.

Player Spotlight

Bam Adebayo scores 15.6 points per contest while playing 34.0 minutes per game. He hauls in 10.6 rebounds per contest and has 4.6 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 58% and his free throw percentage is at 68%. Jimmy Butler averages 20.4 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 35.3 minutes per game. He also brings in 6.4 rebounds per game and has 6.8 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 43% and his free throw percentage is 83%.

Useful Team Statistics

Utah averages 107.4 points per contest, which is 22nd in the league. Their average scoring margin is 1.2 and their shooting percentage is 46% as a unit, which has them ranked 13th. From 3-point territory they shoot 39%, which is good for 1st in the NBA. They average 45.7 boards per contest and 21.7 assists per game, which ranks them 13th and 27th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 3rd with 16.5 per game. The Jazz allow 106.3 points per contest, which is 8th in the NBA. They also surrender a 44% shooting percentage and a 34% average from 3-point range, ranking them 12th and 10th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 43.4 rebounds a game which ranks 6th, and they allow 20.9 assists per game which puts them in 1st place in the league. They force 13.0 turnovers per game which ranks them 3rd in the NBA.

Useful Team Statistics

Miami is 9th in the NBA with 112.7 points per contest this season. They are 3rd in the league in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin is 5.24. They shoot 39% from beyond the arc, which is good for 2nd in the league. They are 18th in the NBA in rebounding with 45.0 boards per contest and 8th in assists per game with 25.5. The Heat are 2nd in turnovers per contest with 16.9. The Heat give up 107.4 points per game, which ranks them 9th in the league. Their defense surrenders a 44% shooting percentage and a 32% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 10th and 2nd in those defensive statistics. They rank 17th with 24.2 dimes allowed per game and 3rd with 41.5 boards surrendered per contest. The Heat are 19th in the league in forcing turnovers with 15.4 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Jazz are 21st in the league in defensive rating with 106.1, and their offensive rating of 107.2 is ranked 10th. They are 16th in the NBA in pace with 100.2 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 53% is 10th. As a unit they are 8th in the league in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 38% of their shot attempts, ranking 16th in the NBA. Utah is 2nd in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 14.9 times per 100 possessions while forcing 11.6 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 50%, which is 22nd in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Miami is 1st in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 15.1 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.6 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 51%, which is 18th in the NBA. The Heat are 8th in the league in defensive rating with 106.2, and their offensive rating of 111.4 is ranked 11th. They are 20th in the NBA in pace with 99.4 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 55% is 2nd. As a unit they are 2nd in the league in true shooting percentage with 59% and they shoot 3-pointers on 40% of their shot attempts, ranking 11th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Jazz/Heat NBA game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Miami -5

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