Utah Jazz vs Golden State Warriors Expert NBA Picks Against the Spread 11/11/2019

Monday, November 11, 2019

Chase Center

Get todays NBA odds and lines on this game.

Eric Paschall and the Golden State Warriors (2-8, 5th in the Pacific Division) host the Utah Jazz (6-3, 2nd in the Northwest Division) at Chase Center on Monday, November 11, 2019. The odds on this matchup have Utah as 10.5 point favorites. The total is set at 213.

The Jazz cover the spread 33.3% of the time, having gone 3-6-0 ATS. Golden State is covering 40.0% of the time, going 4-6-0 against the spread.

Key Utah Jazz Injuries

11/9/2019 Emmanuel Mudiay PG Hamstring Game Time Decision
11/9/2019 Dante Exum PG Knee Game Time Decision
11/2/2019 Ed Davis C Lower Leg Expected to be out until at least Dec 1

Key Golden State Warriors Injuries

11/9/2019 Eric Paschall PF Hip Game Time Decision
11/9/2019 Omari Spellman PF Ankle Game Time Decision
11/7/2019 Kevon Looney PF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Nov 25
11/6/2019 Draymond Green PF Finger Expected to be out until at least Nov 11
11/1/2019 Stephen Curry PG Hand Expected to be out until at least Feb 18
10/31/2019 Jacob Evans SG Hip Expected to be out until at least Dec 1
10/22/2019 Klay Thompson SG Knee Expected to be out until at least Jun 1

Player Spotlight

Bojan Bogdanovic comes into this contest averaging 21.8 points per game while playing 32.5 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 4.5 rebounds per game and dishes out 2.0 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 49% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 94%. Donovan Mitchell averages 24.8 points per game in 34.6 minutes per contest this season. He averages 4.1 assists per contest and 4.8 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 49% for the year while his free throw percentage is 76%.

Player Spotlight

Eric Paschall averages 16.4 points per game while playing 30.6 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 4.2 rebounds per game and has 1.6 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 54% and his free throw percentage is at 90%. D'Angelo Russell averages 25.3 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 32.3 minutes per contest. He also averages 4.3 rebounds per contest and 6.3 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 44% and his free throw percentage is 79%.

Useful Team Statistics

Utah averages 101.0 points per contest this season, which ranks them 28th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 4.0 and their shooting percentage is 46% as a team, which has them ranked 16th. Behind the arc they shoot 38% which is good for 5th in the league. They average 44.0 rebounds per game and 19.3 assists per game, which ranks them 23rd and 29th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 9th with 17.6 per game. The Jazz allow 97.0 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 1st in the league. They also allow a 41% shooting percentage and a 31% average from behind the arc, ranking them 3rd and 4th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 42.8 rebounds a game which ranks 5th and they give up 17.3 assists per contest, which puts them in 1st place in the league. They force 15.4 turnovers per game which ranks them 11th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

Golden State is 14th in the league with 112.1 points per game this year. They are 27th in the league in shooting at 43%, while their average scoring margin is -9.0. They shoot 34% from 3-point range, which is good for 24th in the NBA. They are 21st in the league in rebounding with 44.5 boards per game, and 11th in assists per contest with 24.3. The Warriors are 22nd in turnovers per game with 14.8. The Warriors surrender 121.1 points per contest, which ranks them 29th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 49% shooting percentage and a 38% average from 3-point range, ranking them 29th and 29th in those defensive statistics. They rank 28th with 26.4 assists allowed per contest and 20th with 47.0 rebounds surrendered per game. The Warriors are 14th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 15.6 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Jazz are 27th in the league in defensive rating with 98.1, and their offensive rating of 102.1 is ranked 2nd. They are 28th in the NBA in pace with 98.9 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 52% is 10th. As a unit they are 11th in the league in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 36% of their shot attempts, ranking 17th in the NBA. Utah is 1st in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 16.3 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.9 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 46%, which is 30th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Golden State is 23rd in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.6 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.2 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 56%, which is 2nd in the NBA. The Warriors are 13th in the league in defensive rating with 117, and their offensive rating of 108.3 is ranked 30th. They are 16th in the NBA in pace with 102.4 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 49% is 27th. As a unit they are 21st in the league in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3-pointers on 34% of their shot attempts, ranking 22nd in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Jazz/Warriors NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Golden State +10.5

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