Toronto Raptors vs Dallas Mavericks NBA Game Picks 11/16/2019

Game: Toronto Raptors vs Dallas Mavericks

Date: Saturday, November 16, 2019

Location: American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX

TV: Fox Sports Southwest - Dallas

Odds/Point Spread: Dallas -4.5

Total/Over-Under: 217

American Airlines Center is the venue where Luka Doncic and the Dallas Mavericks (6-5, 2nd in the Southwest Division) will take on the Toronto Raptors (8-3, 2nd in the Atlantic Division) on Saturday. Toronto opens this matchup as 4.5 point dogs. The over/under is set at 217.

The Raptors cover the spread 63.6% of the time, having gone 7-4-0 ATS. Dallas is covering 36.4% of the time, going 4-7-0 against the spread.

Key Toronto Raptors Injuries

11/13/2019 OG Anunoby SF Eye Game Time Decision
11/11/2019 Serge Ibaka PF Ankle Expected to be out until at least Nov 18
11/9/2019 Kyle Lowry PG Thumb Expected to be out until at least Nov 23
11/6/2019 Patrick McCaw SF Knee Expected to be out until at least Dec 14

Key Dallas Mavericks Injuries

No key injuries to report

Player Spotlight

Fred VanVleet comes into this game averaging 17.1 points per contest while playing 38.5 minutes per night this year. He grabs 4.2 rebounds per contest and distributes 7.6 assists per game. His FG percentage is 38% while his free throw percentage is 91%. Pascal Siakam averages 27.2 points per contest in 36.7 minutes per game. He averages 3.8 assists per game and 9.2 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 49% for the season while his free throw percentage is 84%.

Player Spotlight

Luka Doncic scores 28.7 points per contest while playing 34.9 minutes per game. He hauls in 10.3 rebounds per contest and has 9.3 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 48% and his free throw percentage is at 83%. Kristaps Porzingis averages 18.5 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 31.6 minutes per game. He also brings in 8.2 rebounds per game and has 1.6 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 40% and his free throw percentage is 72%.

Useful Team Statistics

Toronto averages 112.6 points per contest, which is 10th in the league. Their average scoring margin is 6.0 and their shooting percentage is 46% as a unit, which has them ranked 14th. From 3-point territory they shoot 40%, which is good for 2nd in the NBA. They average 46.5 boards per contest and 24.6 assists per game, which ranks them 14th and 12th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 9th with 16.8 per game. The Raptors allow 106.6 points per contest, which is 9th in the NBA. They also surrender a 41% shooting percentage and a 34% average from 3-point range, ranking them 1st and 12th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 50.0 rebounds a game which ranks 29th, and they allow 25.0 assists per game which puts them in 23rd place in the league. They force 15.5 turnovers per game which ranks them 15th in the NBA.

Useful Team Statistics

Dallas is 9th in the NBA with 114.2 points per contest this season. They are 18th in the league in shooting at 45%, while their average scoring margin is 2.45. They shoot 34% from beyond the arc, which is good for 19th in the league. They are 6th in the NBA in rebounding with 47.5 boards per contest and 18th in assists per game with 23.7. The Mavericks are 26th in turnovers per contest with 14.0. The Mavericks give up 111.7 points per game, which ranks them 18th in the league. Their defense surrenders a 46% shooting percentage and a 36% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 20th and 18th in those defensive statistics. They rank 15th with 23.7 dimes allowed per game and 19th with 46.6 boards surrendered per contest. The Mavericks are 3rd in the league in forcing turnovers with 13.5 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Raptors are 14th in the league in defensive rating with 102.7, and their offensive rating of 108.5 is ranked 6th. They are 11th in the NBA in pace with 102.8 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 54% is 4th. As a unit they are 3rd in the league in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 41% of their shot attempts, ranking 6th in the NBA. Toronto is 8th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 14.8 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.8 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 47%, which is 29th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Dallas is 26th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.2 times per 100 possessions while forcing 11.8 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 53%, which is 11th in the NBA. The Mavericks are 2nd in the league in defensive rating with 110.5, and their offensive rating of 112.9 is ranked 20th. They are 22nd in the NBA in pace with 100.2 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 53% is 12th. As a unit they are 10th in the league in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 44% of their shot attempts, ranking 3rd in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Raptors/Mavericks NBA game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Toronto +4.5

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